ChrisWeigant.com

Maine Meltdown

[ Posted Tuesday, July 7th, 2026 – 16:03 UTC ]

Once again, the state of Maine is now on the center stage in the American political spotlight. Yesterday, a bombshell report was published with an accusation that Graham Platner -- the Democratic nominee for the Senate race who was going to face Republican Senator Susan Collins in November -- had raped his then-girlfriend only five years ago. Some are calling it "date rape," but at this point quibbling over semantics isn't the important part. The question now is when Platner will bow to the inevitable and drop out of the race, and who will replace him on the ballot?

The timeline for doing so is incredibly short. If Platner does end his campaign in the next week, then his name will be removed from the November ballots and the Democrats will be able to nominate another candidate. If Platner waits until after next Monday, then he will be the only Democrat on the general election ballot (even if he has dropped out of the race), and beating Collins would have to mean another Democrat wins a write-in campaign (which is almost impossible to do).

If Platner does withdraw in time, then Democrats will have two more weeks to somehow decide who will replace him. The method they choose to come up with a replacement is up to them. Which has already caused much speculation about not only the process but also which candidate the Maine Democrats should put forward.

The one thing everyone wants to avoid is any close comparison to what happened when Joe Biden decided to throw in the towel and Kamala Harris was anointed as his replacement in 2024. So there will almost certainly be no insider meeting of the state's Democratic Party bigwigs who similarly decide upon a nominee that will be presented to the voters as a fait accompli. That would be a decidedly unpopular thing to do, especially considering how the primary race went.

The Maine Senate primary race was a showdown between the Democratic Party establishment and the insurgent campaign of the very progressive Platner. Chuck Schumer and the rest of the party's leaders backed the current governor, Janet Mills. Their calculation was based on the concept of "electability," since Mills was popular enough as governor and seen as a safe bet (since she had already won statewide races). Mills is also 78 years old, though, which is not exactly a big contrast with Susan Collins (Mills is actually five years older than Collins). In comparison, Platner is a fresh-faced 41-year-old. So there was a generational aspect as well as an ideological aspect. Mills even bowed to the inevitable over a month before the primary by suspending her campaign, when it became obvious she didn't have a chance of winning -- which by itself is a pretty impressive achievement for an insurgent newcomer. Platner was endorsed early on by prominent progressive Democrats like Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, and his campaign seemed like it was going to be a textbook example of a fresh new face bursting onto the political scene with such vigor and energy and widespread support to walk away victorious in the end.

This didn't work out as planned, obviously. Platner has survived scandal after scandal, most of which were brushed away by Maine voters as being not all that disqualifying in the age of Donald Trump (and the completely amoral bent of Trump's Republican Party). There was a general feeling among Democrats (especially those on the left) of: "Who cares?" even though Platner racked up enough scandals to require an extensive timeline to accurately list them all. There was the Nazi-themed tattoo (that he swore he didn't know the meaning of). There were lots of offensive online posts (which he explained away as the effects of post-combat P.T.S.D.). There were accusations of misconduct by former girlfriends, and then it was revealed that Platner had sent sexual messages to other women soon after marrying his own wife. Platner somehow survived all of these scandals, but that streak ended yesterday. A woman who had spoken out in the earlier story about Platner's girlfriends gave a new interview where she accused him of coming over to her place totally drunk and forcing himself upon her. When asked about it in a nationally-broadcast interview (after the initial story broke) she agreed that it fit the definition of "rape."

Almost immediately, Platner's support evaporated. All of the people who endorsed him withdrew their endorsements. The Democratic Party announced it wouldn't spend a dime on his race. Nobody stood up in any kind of defense or tried to brush the whole thing off in any way, because the accusation was seen as truly indefensible behavior (if true, of course -- Platner denies that anything nonconsensual ever took place).

As of this writing, Platner has not announced he is dropping out. This may be because he is desperately trying to have some influence on who gets to replace him on the ballot, but the likelihood is that Maine voters are going to have a say in the process (rather than just the party bigwigs deciding upon a name to anoint). It wasn't that long ago that Maine used the caucus system to decide upon their presidential nominee every four years, so returning to a hastily-arranged caucus wouldn't be the challenge it would be in other states (ones that don't have such a recent history with the caucus system). There will probably be a frenzy of townhalls and debates and other ways for the voters to weigh the possibilities of other candidates. As mentioned, some names are already being put forward. I'm not going to get into any of them yet, since we'll all have time to see who does decide to make a bid for the nomination.

This being politics, the blame game has already begun as well. Some of this blame is being directed towards Daniel Moraff, Platner's top strategist. Moraff reportedly did a quickie job of formally vetting Platner, opting to save money and time rather than do a more in-depth dive into his possible baggage and closet-skeletons. Moraff gave an interview to the Wall Street Journal where he spun any possible flaws into a positive thing politically:

If what the voters wanted were people who were grown in vats and had never done or said anything that they might regret their entire lives, we'd have a very different country. Part of our thesis here is that people do not want their candidates grown in vats. They want people who are real human beings, and they want people who do not look and sound like the vat-grown people who've been leading this country off a cliff.

That's a clever turn of phrase ("people who were grown in vats"), but in hindsight it isn't looking like the best decision (and that's putting it mildly).

But there's only so much blame political operatives deserve in this. The lion's share of the blame deserves to go to the candidate himself -- who was well aware of all his own flaws and skeletons long before anybody else knew. And it must be said, Maine voters are also responsible for Platner's rise, because even after repeated scandals broke, they stuck by Platner with amazing loyalty. Platner, up until the recent scandal broke, was still leading Collins in the polls (although not by a whole lot).

Platner had a quality about him that excited the voters. Call it charisma, call it authenticity, call it what you will but it was precisely what Democrats have been moaning about for years now -- their inability to reach the blue-collar and working-class voters that were truly enthused about voting for Platner. It went beyond personal characteristics as a person -- Platner stood up strongly for progressive ideas and values that the Democratic Party has either shunned or tried to downplay. This was seen as a real breath of fresh air by the voters. The danger now is that after Platner exits and a replacement is named (no matter how they are chosen or who it is), all of those voters who were excited to vote for a candidate like Platner will now either return to voting for Republicans or just give up and not vote at all. Which could mean the margin of victory, in the end.

Currently things are all up in the air and it is all a gigantic mess. When Platner does bow to the inevitable and end his campaign, then Maine Democrats can begin to move forward once again. Nobody has any clue what all of this is going to mean for their chances in November -- and the Maine Senate race is rather crucial to Democratic hopes of regaining control of the chamber in the midterms. Susan Collins, for all her flaws, is still a formidable candidate in the state of Maine. She has beaten polling expectations in a big way in previous races, so it is in no way going to be a cakewalk for any Democrat to beat her this November. The only good thing in all of this that can be pointed to is that the woman made her accusations with a week remaining before the deadline for dropping out (and having your name removed from the November ballots) was reached. It doesn't leave much time for the party and the voters to coalesce around a replacement candidate, but it is a lot better than if the deadline had passed and this route wasn't even possible.

-- Chris Weigant

 

Follow Chris on Twitter: @ChrisWeigant

 

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