[ Posted Friday, August 15th, 2008 – 16:15 UTC ]
I don't usually comment on sports, so take anything I say with a grain of salt. I'm no professional sports guy, nor do I play one on the web.
But I have to say, NBC's coverage of the Olympics has so far been pretty dull. Now, I only watch what's on during primetime, and I haven't even seen all of that, but so far we've been subjected to an entire week of swimming, beach volleyball, and gymnastics. From what I'm seeing, the Olympics has shrunk and could now call itself "The International Swim Meet, The International Beach Volleyball/Voyeurism Competition, and The China/U.S. Gymnastics Head-To-Head Match."
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[ Posted Thursday, August 14th, 2008 – 15:38 UTC ]
What you want
Baby, I got
What you need
Do you know I got it?
All I'm askin'
Is for a little respect
--Aretha Franklin, "Respect"
So it's official -- Hillary Clinton's name will be formally introduced for a roll-call vote at the Democratic Convention. She will be given her due respect, as will her supporters. Will this be enough for her voters to (finally) come around to supporting Barack Obama, or will the all-but-admitted fact that she's not going to be the vice presidential nominee further embitter the Hillary die-hards? In other words, is this going to be a good thing or a bad thing for Obama? Only time will tell, unfortunately.
My guess is that it's going to turn out fine for Barack Obama. The stage-managed nature of modern political conventions means that it will likely be handled about as well as it could be. The media, of course, will be beating the drums of "Oh, look how disorganized Democrats are," as usual, but by the end of the convention it's going to be pretty hard to reconcile that with 80,000 people cheering their heads off for Obama's acceptance speech. That's a video image that a lot of people are going to see, and they'll see a party united behind their candidate.
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[ Posted Wednesday, August 13th, 2008 – 11:21 UTC ]
[Due to copyright restrictions, I cannot display this photo here at ChrisWeigant.com. Please check out the photo in question over at the Huffington Post.]
We haven't done a photo caption contest here in far too long, and this one just begged for it. What exactly is Bush saying? Picture a word balloon above him, and what would you put in it?
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[ Posted Tuesday, August 12th, 2008 – 17:17 UTC ]
The situation in Georgia is a tough and complex issue for America. About the only good news is that the press may be forced to ask the two presidential candidates some (gasp!) actual questions about actual real-world issues. But apart from pressuring the mainstream media into committing an act of journalism, there are really no good options in Georgia for the United States at this point.
A quick review of the background and current status is in order first, before we get to what it means for John McCain and Barack Obama (and, to a lesser extent, George Bush). Georgia used to be a part of the Soviet Union. Joe Stalin was a Georgian, for instance. When the U.S.S.R. broke up, Georgia declared its independence and became a country. Parts of Georgia, for various ethnic and demographic reasons, wanted to be either their own independent countries, or part of Russia. That's what the current fight is about.
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[ Posted Monday, August 11th, 2008 – 16:40 UTC ]
If you're sick of politics, and don't want to read another single thing about it before Election Day, then you should just skip this column. I recommend taking Opus' advice in this situation, personally.
For the rest of us wonks, before I get to examining Bradley v. Obama, today I'd like to remind everyone that August polls don't mean a whole lot. I'd be saying that no matter who was ahead, mind you. Because I think we all need a reminder that not everyone is like us (quick test: do you know who Mark Penn is? Or David Axelrod?).
Because if you really look at the polls, you'll soon notice that about a third of America just isn't paying all that much attention.
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[ Posted Friday, August 8th, 2008 – 16:03 UTC ]
I have to assume if you're reading this that you're sick of the Olympics already. Wow, that was fast. Is NBC's coverage going to be twice as bad as last time around, or will they go for the gold and make it four times as bad?
Ahem.
Sorry, I'm in a snarky mood today. So if you're allergic to snark, I'd suggest you go back to watching the Lichtensteinian athletes walk around the field. Or whatever's currently on....
Today's Friday Talking Points column is a bit more free-form than normal. Very quickly, we will award this week's prizes, and then get on to the heart of the matter -- trying to convince Barack Obama that it's time to get up off the mat, dust yourself off, and throw a few punches. Because although Obama has a commanding lead on the state-wide level, that lead could evaporate quickly under a barrage of slime and mud from the McCain camp. Democrats across the country are holding their collective breath, waiting to see whether Obama will wind up being another Kerry, or wind up being another Bill Clinton. Kerry famously "was above" responding to August attacks. Clinton had a War Room which responded forcefully to attacks (even the true ones -- remember the phrase "bimbo eruption" from the 1992 campaign?) immediately, and within the same news cycle. Kerry, of course, lost. Clinton won.
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[ Posted Thursday, August 7th, 2008 – 15:36 UTC ]
Will tomorrow be the ultimate "take out the trash" day in the news? This charming term is an inside-the-Beltway phrase which refers to the propensity of politicians to announce things they'd rather not in the most dead and unnoticed news cycle of the week: late Friday, after the evening news has already aired on the East Coast. If the administration has some of what they consider "trash" news -- news that they don't want to draw a whole lot of attention to -- this is when they unveil it. Nobody's watching news on Friday night, and very few follow the news much over the weekend, which effectively buries the story.
But tomorrow night is not exactly a usual Friday night, as it will be the opening ceremony of the Olympic Games. So will President Bush and the government of Iraq very quietly announce (while the party's going on in Beijing) that they have reached an agreement which sets a timeline for American combat troops to leave Iraq?
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[ Posted Wednesday, August 6th, 2008 – 16:12 UTC ]
It's time once again to take a look at the Electoral College math from state-level polling. Nationwide polls are not completely meaningless, but they are pretty irrelevant -- because that's not how we elect a president. You have to win enough states to get more than half the electoral votes in the Electoral College. While many would like to change this system, it's what we've got for the 2008 election, and so looking at the state-level polling is much more important to figure out where the race is right now, and what the trends are.
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[ Posted Tuesday, August 5th, 2008 – 16:23 UTC ]
Senator Barack Obama is currently facing a test in the presidential race. He's already successfully passed the Serious Test (talking to foreign leaders, appearing presidential), as well as the Oratory Test (he does know how to give a speech, that's for sure). But the next test voters are closely watching could be called the Feisty Test. Does Obama have what it takes to put some passion into parrying John McCain's Low Road Express? We will have the answer to that in the next few weeks.
It's an important test for many voters out there, so even though I've given it a cutesy name, don't discount how crucial this test is for a big sector of undecided voters. Americans like a certain degree of feistiness in our presidents. Sometimes we even like too much feistiness in our presidents, in which case we wind up with belligerence instead of feistiness. But rarely do we elect candidates that seem lacking in feistiness (it has happened, but it's rare). American voters want to see presidential candidates stand up for themselves... so that they know the candidate will stand up for the country if elected.
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[ Posted Tuesday, August 5th, 2008 – 12:24 UTC ]
Just a quick program note here (yes, there will still be a column later today) to introduce a new feature here at CW.com.
The last time I wrote a column about the Electoral College, I provided some graphs to liven up what I was talking about. I got a comment from someone who had his own graphs, who invited me to check them out. I did so, and liked his graphics so much that I asked him if I could cross-post them here for my readers. He graciously accepted, and I've got most of the bugs worked out (I think)... so I'm giving CW.com readers a one-day preview before I officially roll it out on Huffington Post as well.
Over at the left side of the page here, under both the "Multimedia" and "2008 Election Tools" headings, there is now a NEW! link to check out, with current, up-to-date graphics which show the state of the race for the Electoral College. These will be updated automatically on a continuing basis until Election Day, every time new data is published for any individual state.
I'm working on a better and more prominent link for this page currently, so keep your eyes peeled for that. For now, just look for the red link over on the left.
And also check out the "About" page to learn more about Samuel Minter and his blog Abulsme.com, the creator of these graphics. If you like them, head on over to his site and let him know (and join ChrisWeigant.com in thanking him for making them available to us here).
One thing worth noting, for the eagle-eyed wonk, is that his graph doesn't match perfectly with the ones I made, due to his getting data from a different source. While I will continue to use my baseline data source for my graphs, I actually think his source and methodology are better than what I'm using. So consider it an independent chart from any of my comments or articles (just to be clear).
I invite everyone to check this new page out, and also encourage people to come back and check it on a daily basis to see current information on the state of the electoral race.
-- Chris Weigant