ChrisWeigant.com

Inflation's Political Deadweight

[ Posted Tuesday, April 12th, 2022 – 16:00 UTC ]

There are two major political storms on the horizon that will both break long before the midterm congressional elections, but as it looks now there is one overriding issue in domestic politics that will likely be one of the core issues in the race no matter what. Yes, it's time once again to dust off the 30-year old quip from James Carville: "It's the economy, stupid." This time around, it could be narrowed to: "It's the inflation, stupid."

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Cashing In On Daddy's Name

[ Posted Monday, April 11th, 2022 – 16:44 UTC ]

I know this might astonish some folks, but it is indeed a fact of life in America that the children of famous and influential politicians occasionally cash in on their last name. Well, technically, they don't even have to have the same last name, they don't have to be children (they can be other family members or even close friends sometimes), and occasionally the "cashing in" is a bit more nefarious than just your garden-variety grifting. But the fact remains that a closeness (or even perceived closeness) to power is indeed a saleable commodity out in the marketplace.

The first example of this that I personally became aware of was when "Billy Beer" hit the market. This was a pretty blatant example of cashing in on closeness to political fame, and it was relevant in a way that people who didn't live through the 1970s may have problems understanding. Because back then, along with pet rocks and Cabbage Patch Kids, people actually collected beer cans. [Full disclosure: I would have to go check, but I may indeed still have a can of Billy Beer out in my garage.] President Jimmy Carter's brother Billy, who was notorious at the time for having a Brett Kavanaugh-sized thirst for beer, was happy to allow his name and signature to appear on the cans of suds for a hefty fee. While the novelty cans did indeed cause a splash in the marketplace (as every beer can collector rushed out to buy one), within a year the brewery closed its doors in failure. It seemed even the president's brother couldn't sell a beer that (by all accounts) tasted horrible. How horrible? Billy himself admitted that he didn't drink his namesake beer at home; he favored Pabst Blue Ribbon instead.

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Friday Talking Points -- History In The Making

[ Posted Friday, April 8th, 2022 – 16:36 UTC ]

History was made this week, as Ketanji Brown Jackson became the first Black woman ever confirmed to a seat on the Supreme Court. It's rare that such a milestone is reached, and it is unquestionably worth celebrating when it does finally happen. Especially since the first Black woman ever to become vice president was the one presiding over the Senate as it cast this historic vote.

In unrelated news, the nation's first Black president visited the White House this week for the first time in five years to give a speech at a signing ceremony for an executive order which will close a loophole in the Affordable Care Act. This will provide access to health insurance for more than one million Americans, so it is also well worth celebrating.

Congress even actually managed to do something this week, too (right before disappearing for yet another multi-week vacation), as the Senate unanimously passed two bills sanctioning Russia for its brutal invasion of Ukraine which are now heading to President Joe Biden's desk. For all the talk from Republicans about Biden somehow "moving too slowly" on aid to Ukraine, it's worth noting that this is the first time Congress has gotten its act together on the crisis since before it began. All previous attempts to legislate any sanctions or aid at all have failed, due to Republican resistance.

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Ketanji Brown Jackson's Historic Confirmation

[ Posted Thursday, April 7th, 2022 – 16:07 UTC ]

For the first time in American history, today the Senate confirmed a Black woman to become a justice on the United States Supreme Court. Since its formation in 1789, the Supreme Court has only had two previous Black justices (Thurgood Marshall and Clarence Thomas), both of whom were male. Out of 115 justices who have ever sat on the highest court in the land, 108 of them have been White men. Only seven have either been women or non-White. And when the court convenes next fall, for the first time White men will actually become a minority on the court. Or, to put this a much better way: for the first time, the highest court in the land will actually be a lot more representative of the makeup of the citizens of the United States of America. This is a historic occasion, and a very hard-fought victory for all who aren't White men.

The court which convenes in October will have only four White men on it -- Chief Justice John Roberts, Samuel Alito, Neil Gorsuch, and Brett Kavanaugh. It will have one Black man (Clarence Thomas) and one Black woman (Ketanji Brown Jackson). Sonia Sotomayor is a Hispanic woman, and the other two seats are held by White women (Elena Kagan and Amy Coney Barrett). This is not perfectly representational of America's demographic makeup, but it is a lot closer to it than at any time in history.

Today's confirmation was a bit unusual because Jackson won't take her seat immediately (as is the norm). Justice Stephen Breyer will not step down until the end of the Supreme Court's term this year (including end-of-year housekeeping), expected to be in either late June or early July. Jackson will be sworn in immediately thereafter, and should have enough time to get up and running for the start of the court's new term in October.

Of course, this isn't the biggest reason why Jackson's confirmation was unusual or historic. That distinction would probably have to go to the fact that while she did get a bipartisan confirmation vote of 53-47 (with three Republican senators voting for her), just in case the vote had been tied, the presiding officer of the Senate was Vice President Kamala Harris -- who is also a Black woman, and also the first of her kind to hold this position in all of American history.

Ketanji Brown Jackson's ascension to the high court is cause for celebration for all Americans -- of all races, ethnicities, and genders. It is the shattering of a glass ceiling that should have been broken long ago. But the good news is that once the pioneering "firsts" have made their mark, often these issues fade into irrelevancy in American politics relatively quickly.

While the first Catholic was appointed to the court in 1836 (Roger Taney), the first Jewish justice wasn't appointed until 1916. From the Wikipedia entry on Louis Brandeis:

The controversy surrounding Brandeis's nomination was so great that the Senate Judiciary Committee, for the first time in its history, held a public hearing on the nomination, allowing witnesses to appear before the committee and offer testimony both in support of and in opposition to Brandeis's confirmation. While previous nominees to the Supreme Court had been confirmed or rejected by a simple up-or-down vote on the Senate floor, often on the same day on which the President had sent the nomination to the Senate, a then-unprecedented four months lapsed between Wilson's nomination of Brandeis and the Senate's final confirmation vote.

These hearings were contentious. Brandeis was accused of being a social justice reformer, and a lot of the opposition was couched in the fears of the establishment of what would happen if such a "radical" were to be seated on the court. But there was a heavy undertone of anti-Semitism to the opposition as well.

Once the barrier was broken, other Catholic and Jewish justices followed -- but there was a feeling that their representation should be limited to one (or at most two) seats. Up until the 1980s, no more than two Jews or two Catholics ever sat on the same court, and such overlaps were rare -- most years saw only one in the "Jewish seat" and one in the "Catholic seat." More recently, religion has not played much of an issue at all among justices or nominees, and America has now actually seen a Supreme Court made up of nothing but Catholics and Jews -- a situation that would have been downright inconceivable a century ago.

In a similar vein, after the first Black justice was seated in 1967, the court had a "Black seat" that George H.W. Bush continued when he nominated Clarence Thomas (after Thurgood Marshall resigned). For the first time since 1967, however, there will be two Black justices in the court's next term. From this point on, being Black might not be all that notable for future nominees and nobody will think that "they're only entitled to one seat" anymore (hopefully, at any rate). There are plenty of other minorities that have never been represented on the highest court in the land, so we may see a Native American or a Pacific Islander justice before we see the next Black justice nominated, but when the next Black is named, it will likely be nowhere near as big an issue as it has been for Jackson (and Thomas, and Marshall before her).

Women have been making strides even faster, in the demographics of the court. Sandra Day O'Connor, named by Ronald Reagan, became the first female justice in 1981. Ruth Bader Ginsburg joined her on the court in 1993. By 2010, there were three women on the court (Ginsburg, Sotomayor, and Kagan). Next year, there will be four (Sotomayor, Kagan, Barrett, and Jackson). As the number of women justices increased, the issue of gender became more and more minor. Of course, women are still not fully represented on the court in proportion to their makeup of the population at large, and won't be until there are five women justices, but they've gotten awfully close in a very short historical timeframe. Although it might have been inconceivable to someone in the early 1900s to imagine a court made up solely of Catholics and Jews, it's pretty easy these days to imagine a court with a strong majority of women -- even seven or eight of them one day, perhaps. Being female is no bar to having a sharp legal mind or even judicial temperament, and today virtually nobody would argue otherwise. That is progress.

There are plenty of demographic groups that have never been represented on the high court though, which makes me anticipate seeing the first gay or lesbian or bisexual justice nominated before we see another Black woman. Or perhaps seeing someone from an ethnicity or race that has never held a seat before. But no matter when the next Black woman is nominated, my guess is that by that point it really won't even be an issue, except perhaps with the oldest senators who are so stuck in their ways they haven't quite caught up to present sensibilities.

The most interesting thing about watching the demographic shifts on the court is that minority or gender status has in no way dictated ideological leanings. The first woman was a conservative, after all. Of the two Black justices who have served to date, one was liberal and one is conservative. It wouldn't surprise me in the least to see a Republican president nominate a Hispanic conservative to the court in the near future, either. Skin color or ethnic upbringing is no guarantee of any particular judicial viewpoint -- nor should it be. The willingness of Republicans to seek out minorities to name to the high bench is evidence of this, and should in fact be applauded.

The Supreme Court will never be perfectly representational of American society. It can't, at least not with only nine members. Nine means each justice represents 11.1 percent of the country. And even with combining several different demographic checkboxes (a gay Native American, for instance), nine is just too few to adequately represent each and every group that exists in our multicultural society.

Still, it is indeed worth celebrating that beginning next October the country and the whole world will see a Supreme Court unlike any seen in history -- one that contains only a minority of White males upon it for the first time. A court full of faces that would have absolutely shocked and stunned anyone from 100 years ago. This is what will be remembered long after the contentious confirmation hearings have been largely forgotten -- the first court in American history that shows the country has now fully embraced equality for all in a way it never has previously. Ketanji Brown Jackson has made history, and opened the door for others to follow in her footsteps. It is a proud day for her, for her family, for Black women, and for America as a whole.

[Correction: Earlier iterations of this article mistakenly reversed the order of the name to "Ketanji Jackson Brown." We apologize for the error, it has been corrected throughout.]

-- Chris Weigant

 

Follow Chris on Twitter: @ChrisWeigant

 

Obama Returns

[ Posted Wednesday, April 6th, 2022 – 15:43 UTC ]

President Barack Obama returned to the White House yesterday, for the first time in five years. He was there to support President Joe Biden in a signing ceremony, although it wasn't for a bill but merely for an executive order. This directive will provide a fix for some people who had fallen through the cracks of the Affordable Care Act, and will wind up helping many American families afford health insurance for their whole family. So it's easy to see why Obama was invited, to help usher in a technical fix for his greatest achievement as president.

But I have to say, while it was good to see Obama give a short speech and crack a few jokes with Biden, it did kind of draw attention to how much he's kept himself in the background ever since he left office. And if Biden and the rest of the Democrats are smart, they'd be all but begging Obama to take a much more active role in his party heading into the midterm election season.

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Big Lie Believers Now Pushing For "Amish Voting"

[ Posted Tuesday, April 5th, 2022 – 16:27 UTC ]

Donald Trump's Big Lie continues to reverberate through American politics. The latest iteration of this is a growing Republican push to ban all machines used in the elections process and instead hand-count all the ballots. They've even got a snappy slogan: "Vote Amish!" I suppose that's better than "Vote Luddite," since it has a distinctly American flavor. But the entire concept is so unworkable and ridiculous (and downright dangerous) that it would be a near-guarantee of more election chaos, longer waits before the counts are complete, and lots and lots of new opportunities for challenging vote results that Republicans don't like (when Republicans lose, in other words). Which could be the entire point, of course.

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No Trump "Truths" Has Consequences

[ Posted Monday, April 4th, 2022 – 15:09 UTC ]

I can't believe I'm about to do this, but this is a column offering some free and helpful advice to Donald Trump.

No, really -- it's not an extended April Fools joke, I swear!

What inspired me to write some political advice for the former president was watching how his fledgling social media platform Truth Social seems to be going down the tubes. Launched in February (on Presidents' Day) it soon became a very popular download -- but that's where the success story ended. Because downloading the app (onto your Apple phone, since there is still no version for the Android yet) didn't get you in. People were put on a wait list with hundreds of thousands of people in front of them. Which is where they'd stay for weeks and weeks. The waitlist is now reportedly up to over 1.4 million. When people finally did make it onto the platform, there wasn't much of anybody there to talk to.

Then came the news that not many people are even downloading the app anymore -- from the opening-day highpoint, new downloads are down over 90 percent (some put the figure as high as 95 percent). And now it seems that two of the actual technological brains behind the app just left the company, with no public announcement and no visible plans to replace them.

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Friday Squawking Points

[ Posted Friday, April 1st, 2022 – 15:02 UTC ]

[Editor's Note: We have a very special (and abbreviated) column today, for reasons that should become obvious. Regular Friday Talking Points columns will resume next Friday. Have a great day, everyone!]

You'll have to forgive our brevity this week, but we have been invited to a cocaine-fuelled sex orgy by Washington persons we cannot name at the moment, so we've got to go get ready a little early this week.

Ahem.

Madison Cawthorn caused quite a stir among his fellow Republicans after telling an interviewer he had been invited to orgies by his fellow Republican politicians, and furthermore that he'd witnessed them doing "key bumps of cocaine" right in front of him. He got pushback from his peers because he so obviously broke the Republican Golden Rule -- you can say the craziest possible things about Democrats, but never about fellow Republicans!

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy gave Cawthorn a stern talking-to, after which he emerged and announced he had in his hands a list of all the Republicans who had been inviting Cawthorn to sex parties and another one of those blatantly snorting coke in the Capitol, and that he would be making the list available to reporters soon, after he had had a chance to talk to each of them and offer them the option of just suddenly resigning.

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Will Rare Earths Be Supported In Biden's D.P.A. Order?

[ Posted Thursday, March 31st, 2022 – 16:40 UTC ]

President Joe Biden has just announced he will be using the Defense Production Act of 1950 to support the mining of some critical minerals, to ensure that America produces more of these elements that are necessary for the high-tech world we live in. This is important, as we've all seen the automobile industry struggle to build cars when things like computer chips are in short supply. The scarcity of one product (or even one element of one product) has ripple effects throughout all sorts of supply chains. It's not just cars, either -- the biggest thing Biden's new order addresses is the minerals needed for the batteries which power hundreds of millions of the devices which are now almost necessary for modern life. But I have to wonder whether this is going to include rare earth elements -- because it really should.

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McCarthy Gives Cawthorn A Stern Talking-To, But Refuses To Actually Do Anything

[ Posted Wednesday, March 30th, 2022 – 15:13 UTC ]

The only sin a Republican can commit these days that merits any sort of consequences from members of their own party seems to be to badmouth or otherwise cast aspersions on either (1) Donald Trump, or (2) any Republican politician in good standing with Donald Trump. This is the new GOP Rubicon, it seems. Falling afoul of this standard means shunning and perhaps excommunication from the Republican ranks, but anything short of it (and it's getting more and more obvious that they really do mean anything) might lead to a strong talking-to, at worst.

This morning the news broke that Kevin McCarthy, the invertebrate leader of House Republicans, together with Minority Whip Steve Scalise had a little sit-down chat with Madison Cawthorn. The meeting reportedly only lasted half an hour. I guess it didn't take too long to call Cawthorn on the carpet for his recent avowal that his fellow Republicans in Congress were blatantly snorting cocaine around him and inviting him to wild orgies -- even though they're in their 60s or 70s.

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