[ Posted Thursday, May 8th, 2008 – 14:34 UTC ]
Project out the rest of the race, if Hillary stays in -- she wins West Virginia by a huge margin, and Kentucky and Puerto Rico by smaller margins. Obama wins Oregon, Montana, and South Carolina. We get to June 3rd and even if Michigan and Florida are seated as Hillary wants, Barack Obama is still going to have enough delegates to win the nomination. This is important -- Barack will still be in the lead in every single category even if Hillary gets her way with Michigan and Florida.
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[ Posted Wednesday, May 7th, 2008 – 14:40 UTC ]
August 28th will be the final day of the 2008 Democratic National Convention. The keynote speaker will be the Democratic nominee for president. Unless Hillary Clinton soon acquires the ability to perform miracles, that nominee is going to be Barack Obama.
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[ Posted Tuesday, May 6th, 2008 – 13:42 UTC ]
There are indeed elitists in this race for the presidency. But they're not out on the campaign trail. They're sitting behind television cameras telling the rest of us what they think that we think. Or should think.
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[ Posted Monday, May 5th, 2008 – 12:29 UTC ]
So here we are, examining the "crucial" battleground states for the nomination... nearing the "back of the line" of the primary calendar. While I did lay out the possibility of an open convention in that article, I also shied away from making an actual prediction that it would happen. I'm still not ready to do that, as I still think there is a good chance the race will be over this Wednesday morning. Now (to prove I highlight my mistakes as well), I think this is something like the fourth or fifth time I have predicted "it's going to be over in a matter of days." To date, I've been wrong every single time. Nobody's perfect.
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[ Posted Friday, May 2nd, 2008 – 15:22 UTC ]
Yesterday, all 29 cargo ports on the West Coast were shut down, although it wasn't terrorism that did it. It was the longshoremen, in a one-day strike. Media coverage, beyond some local newspapers, was almost completely non-existent.
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[ Posted Wednesday, April 30th, 2008 – 12:51 UTC ]
John McCain should be taken at his word. He just gave a major speech in which he unveiled his "new" idea for how to fix health care in America (which is actually just recycled Bush policy). To prove he knows what he is talking about, I challenge him to be the first to voluntarily do what he is asking all Americans to do: give up his employer-based health care, and purchase his own health insurance on the open market as a private American citizen.
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[ Posted Tuesday, April 29th, 2008 – 17:28 UTC ]
[Note: Due to everyone else blathering about it, I am going to write this column without once mentioning Barack Obama or Reverend Jeremiah Wright. I am also going to break this blog's motto and escape reality-based politics for one day. Hope you don't mind.]
I invite you to enter an alternate reality with me. [...]
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[ Posted Monday, April 28th, 2008 – 14:20 UTC ]
Sure, it's more fun for them to bloviate endlessly about the next upcoming "do or die" primary, but the fact of the matter is that none of the remaining primaries (absent a total meltdown by Hillary or Barack) is going to decide much of anything -- which everyone in the media is fully aware of. They know nothing's going to be decided by the remaining races, but much like an addict struggling to put down the crack pipe, they keep going back for one more refreshing hit. Look at how much mileage they got out of the non-story: "Pennsylvania votes exactly as everyone expected them to," for instance.
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[ Posted Friday, April 25th, 2008 – 15:47 UTC ]
It was a telling sign that neither Democratic candidate saw fit to visit Punxsutawney before the Pennsylvania primary. Nobody wanted the press to remember Bill Murray's Groundhog Day in any way, shape or form. But even without stump speeches next to Punxsutawney Phil, it's hard not to think of living the same day over and over and over again when looking ahead to the nine contests that remain. Because nothing much is likely to be decided by them.
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[ Posted Thursday, April 24th, 2008 – 12:19 UTC ]
Because while all the attention for the past three months has been on each state contest as it happens -- complete with numerical projections galore about the pledged delegates from each primary -- everyone has been largely ignoring the real "numbers story" to be told: the superdelegates.
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