ChrisWeigant.com

Archive of Articles in the "Polls" Category

Obama Above Water Once Again

[ Posted Wednesday, March 9th, 2016 – 17:45 UTC ]

There is a lot going on in the political world to talk about today, but in the background of the raging presidential campaign President Barack Obama hit a second-term milestone today. His job approval polling average is now once again "above water" -- defined as more people who approve of the job he's doing than disapprove. This might not sound all that momentous, but it is actually the first time in almost three years that it has happened. Obama's public job approval has been on a major upswing this year, which (if it continues) might significantly boost the chances of the Democratic nominee winning in November. So while Obama's poll rise hasn't been a topic for conversation in the presidential race so far, it could prove decisive later on.

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My Picks For Tonight's Primaries

[ Posted Tuesday, March 8th, 2016 – 16:11 UTC ]

If it's Tuesday, there's bound to be a primary somewhere, and today is certainly no different. So let's jump back into the prediction game once again, where we make wild guesses about who will win tonight's contests. As always, before we begin, we've got to update the scoreboard. Last weekend there were five contests on the Republican side and four for the Democrats.

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#NeverTrump Will Quickly Become #OKWhatTheHellGoDonald

[ Posted Monday, March 7th, 2016 – 16:26 UTC ]

Well, that was a quick counter-revolution. The Republican Party establishment, realizing it was teetering on the edge of a very dark abyss, tried to marshal its once-formidable forces to defeat Donald Trump. Out trotted Mitt Romney, backed by John McCain -- the party's two previous presidential candidates -- to condescendingly explain (establishment-splain?) why Trump was utterly inconceivable as their proud party's nominee. Trump was beyond the pale, absolutely unacceptable, not welcome, an interloper, and the only possible thing to do would be to shun, expel, reject, ostracize, and shame Trump into handing the Republican Party's voters back to their rightful owners. The hashtag "#NeverTrump" appeared as a rallying cry, and millions of dollars are being donated by fatcats for the purpose of (finally!) running some scathing anti-Trump ads to take the insurgent down.

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Friday Talking Points [381] -- Is Trump Bigger Than Liam Neeson?

[ Posted Friday, March 4th, 2016 – 17:09 UTC ]

It's been a wild and crazy week -- so much so, in fact, that we're going to start with a quote we never thought would become appropriate to use in a column about politics. It's from the movie Taken, where Liam Neeson's character utters the classic line: "Now's not the time for dick-measuring."

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The End Of The GOP?

[ Posted Wednesday, March 2nd, 2016 – 18:16 UTC ]

Are we witnessing the end of the Republican Party? That's a pretty stunning question to ask, but we're living through a pretty stunning presidential nomination fight, so it can no longer be avoided or ignored.

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From The Archives -- Take Jimmy Carter's Advice On The Primary Calendar

[ Posted Tuesday, March 1st, 2016 – 16:23 UTC ]

It shouldn't surprise anyone to hear that the Democrats could have made a bold visionary change, but instead decided to tinker around the edges of a problem. While I'm glad they're attempting anything new at all, I am also once again disappointed in them for missing a golden opportunity.

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My Super Tuesday Picks

[ Posted Monday, February 29th, 2016 – 17:57 UTC ]

Tomorrow's the big night, whether you prefer to call it Super Tuesday or the "SEC Tuesday" (because of all the Southern states). So rather than scramble to get this out before the polls close tomorrow night, I'm posting all my primary picks today.

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Friday Talking Points [380] -- Unintelligible Yelling

[ Posted Friday, February 26th, 2016 – 18:23 UTC ]

That title, of course, refers to the most recent Republican debate, where in a fit of frustration the caption writers at CNN just gave up and ran "Unintelligible yelling" as the caption. Yep, that about sums it up, doesn't it?

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From The Archives -- Trump Mania

[ Posted Thursday, February 25th, 2016 – 18:14 UTC ]

Most intelligent political analysts' reaction (right, left, and center) to the news that Donald Trump may be considering a run for the presidency could be summed up as some version of: "You have got to be kidding me." Followed quickly by: "This is going to be so much fun!" But the real punchline to this joke of a candidacy was actually on the punditocracy, when Trump's poll numbers took off and soon put him either in the lead or very close to it for the Republican nomination. Republican voters, it seems, aren't following the punditocracy's lead on "The Donald."

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Beating Trump Not So Easy

[ Posted Wednesday, February 24th, 2016 – 17:59 UTC ]

Donald Trump just won his third primary, taking Nevada with a commanding 46 percent of the Republican vote. If you take a look back at his campaign so far, you will see a long trail of wishful Washington thinking that was proven wrong and had to be tossed to the side of the road. This started even before his campaign begun, as all the pundits confidently predicted he wouldn't even run. This was followed by a string of pronouncements that "Trump is now toast," after each of his ever-more-outrageous statements from the campaign trail (starting with his campaign announcement, where he called Mexican immigrants "rapists" and "murderers"). Each one was supposed to kill his chances dead, dead, dead. Instead, Trump has laughed all the way to where he is now -- the frontrunner and presumptive nominee of the once-proud Republican Party. He's getting tougher and tougher to beat, and his Nevada showing blew away the most recent wishful thinking from the Washington elites -- that Trump "had a ceiling" of perhaps 35 percent, above which he would never go. Toss that one on the ever-growing heap of things that have been predicted about how Trump's campaign was going to falter, none of which have panned out.

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