[ Posted Tuesday, August 5th, 2008 – 16:23 UTC ]
Senator Barack Obama is currently facing a test in the presidential race. He's already successfully passed the Serious Test (talking to foreign leaders, appearing presidential), as well as the Oratory Test (he does know how to give a speech, that's for sure). But the next test voters are closely watching could be called the Feisty Test. Does Obama have what it takes to put some passion into parrying John McCain's Low Road Express? We will have the answer to that in the next few weeks.
It's an important test for many voters out there, so even though I've given it a cutesy name, don't discount how crucial this test is for a big sector of undecided voters. Americans like a certain degree of feistiness in our presidents. Sometimes we even like too much feistiness in our presidents, in which case we wind up with belligerence instead of feistiness. But rarely do we elect candidates that seem lacking in feistiness (it has happened, but it's rare). American voters want to see presidential candidates stand up for themselves... so that they know the candidate will stand up for the country if elected.
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[ Posted Tuesday, August 5th, 2008 – 12:24 UTC ]
Just a quick program note here (yes, there will still be a column later today) to introduce a new feature here at CW.com.
The last time I wrote a column about the Electoral College, I provided some graphs to liven up what I was talking about. I got a comment from someone who had his own graphs, who invited me to check them out. I did so, and liked his graphics so much that I asked him if I could cross-post them here for my readers. He graciously accepted, and I've got most of the bugs worked out (I think)... so I'm giving CW.com readers a one-day preview before I officially roll it out on Huffington Post as well.
Over at the left side of the page here, under both the "Multimedia" and "2008 Election Tools" headings, there is now a NEW! link to check out, with current, up-to-date graphics which show the state of the race for the Electoral College. These will be updated automatically on a continuing basis until Election Day, every time new data is published for any individual state.
I'm working on a better and more prominent link for this page currently, so keep your eyes peeled for that. For now, just look for the red link over on the left.
And also check out the "About" page to learn more about Samuel Minter and his blog Abulsme.com, the creator of these graphics. If you like them, head on over to his site and let him know (and join ChrisWeigant.com in thanking him for making them available to us here).
One thing worth noting, for the eagle-eyed wonk, is that his graph doesn't match perfectly with the ones I made, due to his getting data from a different source. While I will continue to use my baseline data source for my graphs, I actually think his source and methodology are better than what I'm using. So consider it an independent chart from any of my comments or articles (just to be clear).
I invite everyone to check this new page out, and also encourage people to come back and check it on a daily basis to see current information on the state of the electoral race.
-- Chris Weigant
[ Posted Monday, August 4th, 2008 – 15:24 UTC ]
The vice presidential guessing game has reached fever pitch, with many betting Barack Obama is going to make his pick known this week, before the Olympics start. But I'd like to suggest another appointment for Obama to announce, which he should do before he selects his running mate. Obama should announce that, if elected, he will offer the job of special envoy to the Middle East to former president Bill Clinton.
This could reap many rewards for Obama, and for the Clintons as well. First of all, it would be impossible to find someone better qualified and better suited to be America's face in the region. Bill Clinton would likely be acceptible to both the Palestinians and Israelis, which goes a long way toward moving the peace process along from the very start. Clinton could oversee the entire region, and try to put Bush's Humpty-Dumpty foreign policy mess back together again. Not being an ambassador to any one county, but rather having a portfolio of the whole Middle East, would give him a regional focus on one of the most important (if not the most important) regions of the world for the near future. Clinton could sit down with Iran, Iraq, Turkey, and all the other countries who have a stake in what happens in Iraq, and address their concerns in a fair-handed way. While achieving total peace in the Middle East may be an unrealistic goal in four years (or even eight), achieving stability in the region is indeed possible. It would take a master statesman to do it, but luckily we have one of those available -- Bill Clinton.
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[ Posted Friday, August 1st, 2008 – 16:43 UTC ]
I have a confession to make. I actually watch the network news. Maybe I should enter into a twelve-step program or something.
But I don't watch the news for fun, and I certainly don't watch it for, you know... news... since it has largely become a substance-free zone. But I do watch it because I want to see what pap is being fed to America each and every night by the giant corporations that pre-package it and serve it up to us all.
I do, however, draw the line at cable news, since the dent in my living room wall from my forehead is already deep enough. To say nothing of the dent in my forehead. Ahem.
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[ Posted Thursday, July 31st, 2008 – 16:51 UTC ]
Republicans think they've discovered the way to beat Democrats in this year's election, with a strategy that can be summed up as: drilling for votes. Democrats, confident that logic is on their side in the oil drilling debate, may be ignoring this at their peril. It is too early to tell, of course, but the Democrats need to come up with a way to frame the debate to their advantage fast, or else they risk appearing as if they have no idea what to do about high gas prices.
I've said before that the price of gas is intimately tied to how Americans see whoever is in charge in Washington. Presidential approval ratings track very closely with the price of gasoline. This is not a new phenomenon. But Bush isn't running for re-election, so John McCain is free to say whatever he wants on the subject. Which he has increasingly been doing.
Democrats seem confident that they're polling ahead on most other issues, and have not been giving this the attention it deserves. But elections sometimes hinge on a single issue, and Democrats are on the wrong side of the polls on this one. Sure, it's nice that Barack Obama has both a better plan for foreign policy and a better take on most domestic issues that voters care about. But rebutting "let's drill now" (the Republican talking point making inroads with average Americans) is tough to do. It takes facts, and long-winded explanations. And that doesn't always work in a campaign.
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[ Posted Wednesday, July 30th, 2008 – 14:48 UTC ]
Barack Obama made a campaign promise to visit the state of Alaska before the election. And what better time than right now to follow through on this promise? Obama should fly to Alaska the first chance his campaign schedule allows and make a speech at a rally with Mark Begich (and any other Democratic candidates for Alaskan office who care to join in). Begich is currently the Mayor of Anchorage, and is running to unseat the Republican Senator Ted Stevens. You may have heard Ted Stevens' name in the news recently. Which is why the time is now for Obama to make the trip.
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[ Posted Tuesday, July 29th, 2008 – 17:15 UTC ]
Today we look at Barack Obama's vice presidential picks, by popular demand. I have so far resisted jumping into the VP fray, mostly because I don't have anything to say that hasn't already been said by dozens of others. I can't pretend I can see inside Senator Obama's mind better than anyone else, and to my way of thinking the whole silly-season exercise of trying to guess who it will be is a lot of sound and fury, which ends up signifying nothing. But I've been noticing one facet of the choice hasn't really been adequately addressed: the consequences of such a pick.
Now, I'm not talking about consequences to Obama's chance of winning -- there's been more than enough of that sort of thing already, whether you want to slice it by geography or demographics, or whatever. Instead, I'd like to talk about the vacancy left behind.
Because many on the list are currently holding public office. Meaning if they get the VP nod, they're going to leave behind an empty office for someone else to hold. And the consequences of what happens to that office is what I'd like to focus on.
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[ Posted Monday, July 28th, 2008 – 15:58 UTC ]
Sixty years ago, on July 26, 1948, President Harry S Truman singlehandedly desegregated the United States military.
While that statement is true, it does not tell the whole story, since nothing is quite that easy. The military resisted fiercely, and it took years to actually achieve full racial integration of the military. It wasn't until March 18, 1951 that the Defense Department announced that all basic training had been integrated, much less the entire armed forces (which took even longer). The Truman Library has a very nice timeline of desegregation in the military for those interested in all the details.
But although it was a long, hard struggle to get the military to accept equal treatment for African Americans, Truman's Executive Order 9981 was undoubtedly the start of the official process. Sixty years ago, Truman signed his name to the following:
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[ Posted Friday, July 25th, 2008 – 16:17 UTC ]
Be careful what you wish for, John.
That seems to be the message of the week for Senator John McCain. He took some campaign consultant's idea a few weeks ago and tried to make political hay out of it -- put a running "clock" up on his website to show how long it had been since Barack Obama had been to Iraq.
It was a sophomoric trick, but then what do you really expect from a Republican campaign consultant?
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[ Posted Thursday, July 24th, 2008 – 17:21 UTC ]
Since this week seems to be "Numbers Week" here at CW.com, I'd like to take a very close look at two recent polls, because they show something astonishing which everyone appears to be either ignoring or missing: When pollsters ask about four candidates instead of two, Obama's lead goes up. When Bob Barr and Ralph Nader are added into the mix, they seem to both draw votes mostly away from McCain, widening the gap between McCain and Obama.
This seems strange, since the conventional wisdom would have it that Barr will draw voters away from McCain (he's already being spoken of as a "spoiler" for McCain in one particular state -- Georgia -- where Barr hails from); and that Nader will draw voters from Obama. But, as these two polls show, that doesn't seem to be the case.
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