Tomorrow night, Donald Trump will address Congress and the nation. Not to mention the Supreme Court members who show up as well -- which should prove to be one of the most interesting segments of his speech (just for entertainment value alone). Of course, there is little doubt about what Trump is going to say tomorrow night overall -- that the state of the Union is not just good but downright wonderful! The best ever! Everything is great! The glorious Golden Age of Trump has arrived! Be joyous and celebrate, one and all!

Sadly, that's not even overstating what Trump will likely say. If anything, it might actually understate it. Today, Trump gave us all a little teaser, which was exactly what you'd expect from him:

We have a country that's now doing well, we have the greatest economy we've ever had and the most activity we've ever had. I'm making a speech tomorrow night, and you will be hearing me say that. It is going to be a long speech, because we have so much to talk about.

That last sentence, at least, will likely prove to be true. Trump certainly does love hearing himself speak, that's for sure. Will the speech run over two hours? Will it be referred to with comparisons to the length of Fidel Castro's speeches? Tune in tomorrow night! (heavy sigh...)

Trump is going to lie his face off tomorrow night, as usual. He will cite numbers and statistics that prove to be untrue or wildly misstated or just made up out of thin air, also as usual. He will present a fantasy view of American life during the first year of his second term that will be unrecognizable to most Americans. To counter this blizzard of bull, some news organizations are even offering up "prebuttals" -- fact-checks of basic numbers and statistics before Trump even begins his speech (since they pretty much know which stats Trump is almost surely going to lie about).

Trump is, not to put too fine a point on it, increasingly divorced from reality. Also, he never backs down or admits any sort of error whatsoever. Those two things are almost certainly going to combine in such a way as to provide fodder for Democratic campaign ads for the rest of the year.

To begin with, Trump is going to say that the word "affordability" is some sort of "hoax" offered up by Democrats. It's hard to even understand what he's thinking, here, especially since he will likely also state that he has "won" on affordability -- that he has bravely slain this dragon. Either the dragon exists (and was bravely slain by Trump) or it all was a "hoax" -- it can't really be both, can it?

Next, he will almost certainly double down on his big deportation push, insisting that each and every person deported was either a murderer, a rapist, or a child molester -- or possibly all three. This is miles and miles from the truth, but Trump will revel in telling individual stories of American citizens whose lives were wrecked or ended by undocumented immigrants, in an effort to demonize all immigrants. He will either not speak of the excesses of ICE, or dismiss them as being nothing more than crazed lefty "domestic terrorists" interfering with fine, upstanding officers of the law (all evidence to the contrary).

Trump will boast about the economy, even though the past year has been rather blah, economically-speaking. Either trends which were in place before he took office continued, or the numbers basically flatlined and haven't budged much all year (the jobs numbers, particularly). Trump will nevertheless try to spin them all as "the best numbers in all of American history!" no matter how farfetched these claims may be.

Trump will also tout his tariffs as the most wonderful thing ever, and will not be able to restrain himself from taking cheap shots at the Supreme Court while he does. How low will he go? That is the real question -- how insulting will his comments get? Nobody knows, but we'll all certainly be watching. The justices will likely sit there stony-faced through it all, as usual.

Trump will almost certainly wax poetic about the 250th anniversary of the signing of the Declaration of Independence, complete with lots of bragging about all the tacky and tasteless events he's got planned for it all. He may also brag about his big beautiful ballroom which he is going to build, because to him slapping cheap gold gewgaws all over the White House wasn't quite tacky enough for him.

Trump will also almost certainly excoriate Democrats, calling them all sorts of nasty playground names, and will attempt to gain some sort of upper hand in the ongoing government shutdown of the Department of Homeland Security. This will only draw attention back to the fact that Democrats are demanding changes to ICE and other federal immigration agents that are not only reasonable but obviously sorely needed.

Trump's entire speech is going to be an enormous exercise in gaslighting -- that's a pretty safe bet. But in doing so, Trump is going to make it infinitely harder for Republicans to get re-elected in this year's midterms. Voters have already soured on Trump and his agenda in a big way (a recent poll just showed Trump with only 39 percent job approval, to a whopping 60 percent disapproval -- an enormous 21-point gap). Being reminded that Trump is never going to change his mind on any of it and will instead double down on all the worst aspects of his agenda is likely only going to remind everyone why he's lost so much of their support. But of course, he doesn't see it like that.

Ironically, the two issues that are shaping up to be central to the Democrats' midterm campaign are exactly the two big issues that all the pundits said got Trump re-elected in 2024: the economy/inflation, and immigration.

When Trump argues that affordability is some sort of "hoax," what he is saying to millions of Americans (many of whom voted for Trump last time around) is that their reality is not real to him. Trump is proving how out of touch he is with normal people's lives, every time he calls affordability a "hoax." That is insulting, because it tells even his own supporters that what they are experiencing is somehow not real (to him, at least).

When Trump claims he has "solved" the affordability crisis, it just reinforces the message that he is out of touch. Sure, the price of eggs has fallen under his watch -- because the bird flu epidemic among chickens is largely now over. It was an isolated case, and nothing Trump did changed it -- which is proven by the fact that almost everything else on the grocery store shelves has continued to go up in price. Trump will likely cherry-pick a few other products whose prices have come down and come to the conclusion that "all prices are way down on everything!" He will almost certainly brag about gasoline being $1.99 a gallon, even as the national average actually hovers about a dime below $3.00 a gallon. People shake their head when they hear Trump brag of prices that don't exist anywhere in reality and say: "What $1.99-a-gallon gas? Where? Because that sure ain't the case here where I live!"

Trump is also fighting a losing battle when he gaslights how wonderful tariffs are. The jury is in from the American public -- they don't like tariffs, because most people are smart enough to know that tariffs are nothing more than a tax on them. They see Trump's insistence on using them as more proof that he is completely out of touch with their own kitchen-table budgets.

Trump likely won't even mention the health insurance crisis that Republicans have now caused, with tens of millions of Americans being priced out of the insurance market because congressional Republicans refused to act. He also likely won't speak about the price of housing or new cars or anything else that has been negatively affected by both his tariffs and his rounding up immigrants.

On immigration, Trump has absolutely blown what used to be an advantage for him. A lot of Americans wanted to see violent criminal immigrants deported, but what Trump and Kristi Noem have been doing has been so brutal and indiscriminate as to shock most Americans -- even many Trump supporters. The criminal and unconstitutional behavior of ICE is pretty much indefensible, but Trump is going to somehow try to paint them as the good guys.

It is all going to add up to a general impression that Trump is woefully out of touch with most people's lives, and getting more so as time goes on. That is my personal prediction of the speech that Trump is going to give tomorrow night. It will also add up to a gigantic gift to Democrats, who (as mentioned) will almost certainly use parts of Trump's speech in their own midterm campaigns. "Look at how out of touch Trump is! Elect us and we will rein him in," is going to be a big feature of many Democratic politicians' campaigns, that much seems certain.

The only thing we take Trump at his word for, before he even begins his speech, is the part about: "It is going to be a long speech." That much seems believable, especially when I remember how many times during last year's speech I was absolutely begging for it to be over now... please, let it be over... seriously, isn't this the end of it?... how much longer is this going to last? That will all repeat itself tomorrow night, sadly -- that much seems like a pretty safe bet, at the very least.

-- Chris Weigant

Follow Chris on Twitter: @ChrisWeigant