Midterms Up For Grabs

[ Posted Thursday, October 27th, 2022 – 15:37 UTC ]

I start with a simple truth: nobody knows what the midterm election results will be. I don't know, you don't know, and the people who get paid to tell you they do also don't know. Of course, this is always true -- nobody can perfectly accurately predict the future -- but it used to be that politics was at least somewhat predictable. Polling would show what the voters were thinking, and it usually played out on Election Day.

That's not really true any more, or a lot less true than it used to be. Pollsters weren't very accurate in the past three election cycles, starting with Donald Trump's surprise win in 2016. There are lots of problems modern pollsters have had in trying to adapt and refine their methodologies, such as fewer and fewer people being willing to even talk to them. Cell phones have changed how pollsters cold-call people. Gathering data online is now a bigger part of the mix for many of them. These are fundamental shifts in the methodology of polling, and some of these shifts have been easier for them to adapt to than others.

Even so -- even taking all the modernizations that have happened into account -- there has been another big reason for the polls to be so inaccurate, and that is the question of who actually turns out to vote.

This used to be easier, because the public could largely be divided into three groups: those who voted all the time, those who only voted some of the time (only in presidential years, perhaps), and those who never voted at all. These groups remained stable enough that the pollsters could predict the overall numbers who would probably show up on Election Day with a fair amount of precision.

But those days are gone, at least for the time being. The last three elections have seen huge surges in what the pollsters might call "unexpected voters." And in each of these elections, this has meant a lot of the polling was just way off -- it didn't even get close to predicting the actual numbers of voters on Election Day.

The first big surge of unexpected voters turned out for Trump in 2016. A whole bunch of people who either had never voted before or who hadn't voted in a long time actually did vote. Experts differ on how much this was a pro-Trump effect and how much of it was an anti-Hillary-Clinton effect, but no matter what their overriding motivation was, a whole lot of unexpected people showed up, so Trump won.

In 2018, there was a backlash in the other direction. The pollsters did pick up on this to some extent, but it was a lot bigger than most of them expected. Turnout topped 50 percent (of eligible voters) in a midterm for the first time in 100 years. The 2014 midterms didn't even crack 40 percent, to show how enormous a jump this truly was. A whole bunch of Democrats were extremely motivated to show their displeasure with Donald Trump and the Republicans in Congress. Democrats won big, capturing control of the House by flipping 41 seats.

Last time around, there was a big surge in both directions at once. Like the 2018 midterms, the participation rate hit a high it hasn't seen in at least a half a century (and, by some reckoning, a full century). In 2020, Donald Trump won more popular votes than he had received in 2016. But his Democratic opponent got even more votes than either candidate got in 2016, and walked away with the victory. However, Republicans actually did pretty well (or "not as badly as predicted" at least) in Congress. Previous to the 2020 vote, Democrats were wildly optimistic about picking up lots of seats in both chambers of Congress. But they actually lost seats in the House and they didn't pick up anywhere near the gains they had been hoping for in the Senate.

In all three of these elections, the pollsters got it wrong. So polling itself is a lot less reliable in the current political state of the country. Which brings me to this year. We're now officially in the homestretch of the race -- we've got less than two weeks to go before Election Day dawns.

Earlier in the year, Republicans were expecting a giant red wave. Then the Supreme Court threw out Roe v. Wade. Democrats began to get optimistic about their chances. Now the pollsters and the pundits have decided the Republicans again have the momentum. Which is why nobody knows what is going to happen. It's been a volatile race, and most of the contests are extremely close (in the polling). Extremely close races, of course, are the hardest to predict. Shifts of only a few percentage points can and often do determine the outcome of the race.

The conventional wisdom is that late enthusiasm is usually the predictive factor, but we've still got over a week to go. Late surges in enthusiasm can happen only days before the election, keep in mind. And there still remains the unexpected voter question, which could also be big this year.

I wonder about two such possible surges -- two groups that seem like the pollsters might just miss in their data. The first is women. According to the pollsters, the effect of the Dobbs decision rose quickly but then peaked and now abortion is a minor issue that few people will be basing their votes on. However, this might be a flaw in the way they determine such things. They ask respondents: "What will be your number-one issue when you enter the voting booth?" or similarly-worded questions. They add the numbers up and attempt to tell us all "what this election is about." But I think the abortion issue is a lot more visceral than the polls show. This isn't some argument about one party's economic agenda versus the other party's, this is about a fundamental constitutional right being taken away from millions of women. That is a lot different than being for or against a tax cut, even if the voters the pollsters talk to don't specifically tell them "it's my number-one issue." Perhaps it is in the background, but it is a lot more powerful than most background issues, at least (anecdotally) from the people I have talked to.

So there could be a large surge of women voters (and pro-women's-rights male voters too) that nobody can predict ahead of time. Women have surged in terms of new registrations, ever since Dobbs was handed down. If they show up in overwhelming numbers, they could cause upsets in races where pollsters have already decided Republicans hold the edge.

Or the opposite could happen -- anti-Biden voters could surge just as easily. Donald Trump has been casting doubt on multiple previously-trusted American institutions, and polling is just one in this mix. Being told all the polls are "fake news" constantly has led to Trump supporters being a lot more reluctant to talk to pollsters. Which means they may be falling through the cracks in the data -- just as they did in 2020, to some extent (for all the down-ballot races). Midterms are traditionally where the "out" party vents its displeasure at a sitting president (especially since both houses of Congress are in the "in" party's hands), and this could easily happen even if the pollsters can't accurately predict it now (because so few of them will answer the phone when pollsters call).

Polling the public has never been perfectly accurate. But it used to be "accurate enough," at least in most cases. That just doesn't seem to be true anymore, or a lot less true than it had been. Which is why I can't even make predictions as we head into the homestretch. Anything could happen, whether it winds up surprising the pollsters or just confirming what they did predict.

The only prediction which even seems possible is that the midterm elections are up for grabs. Neither party is showing an overwhelming advantage nationwide, and there are a lot of very close races -- races which are "within the margin of error" in the polls. Which is just another way of saying "we have no idea what will happen." This election is still very much up for grabs.

-- Chris Weigant


Follow Chris on Twitter: @ChrisWeigant


23 Comments on “Midterms Up For Grabs”

  1. [1] 
    MtnCaddy wrote:

    Yes, and there's still a week and a half to go. We'll soon know if But inflation! And Hunter's laptop! is still all it takes for a majority of voters or whether America has wised up.

  2. [2] 
    Michale wrote:

    I start with a simple truth: nobody knows what the midterm election results will be.

    Yes.. I agree.. That is a Democrat "truth"..

    But the simple FACT is that there are plenty of indications that can show a reasonable, rationale person what's going to happen...

    "If I drop a hammer on a high gravity planet, I don't need to witness that it has fallen to know that it has fallen."
    -Commander Spock, STAR TREK, Court Martial

    Given all the information and all the FACTS available from Right Wing sources, Left Wing sources and Independent/NPA sources, a reasonable and rational and ACCURATE prediction can be made..

    A FACT that each and every one of you would agree with if things were going Democrats' way... :D

    How do we know this?? Because a month or so ago EVERYONE here was saying that Democrats have it made.. That Democrats are going to defy history.. That Democrats are going to keep the Senate AND the House.. :D So, when the polls were going ya'all's way, ya'all felt the polls were accurate enough for a prediction.. :D See how that works..

    Here are the facts of the here and now, my friends..

    Democrats are about to get Uber Nuclear Biblically shellacked in 11 days.. :D


    Yes, and there's still a week and a half to go.

    Yer giddy optimism is still a source of amusement for me, my friend.. :D

    . We'll soon know if But inflation! And Hunter's laptop! is still all it takes for a majority of voters or whether America has wised up.

    For those who look at the FACTS and REALITY and not partisan BS...

    Those people already "know".. :D

    I probably won't be around to share in the festivities with you MC.. But know that I'll be looking down on you from above...

    And laughing my ass off.. :D

    1/20 :D :D :D

  3. [3] 
    Michale wrote:

    And in keeping with the topic... :D

    HALLOWEEN SCARE: Dems' midterm fears worsen as election forecasters shift more races toward GOP in final weeks

    Fox News' Power Rankings and other forecasters predict a possible increased margin of victory for Republicans

    Democrats across the country are facing an increasingly bleak outlook as election forecasters continue to shift more races in Republicans' favor with less than two weeks to go before Election Day.

    The shifts have taken place in a number of races once thought out of reach for Republicans. But, as voters' concerns over inflation, the economy, violent crime and the border crisis continue to rise, Democrats are beginning to see hopes of maintaining majorities in both houses of Congress, and some governorships, slip through their fingers.

    On Tuesday, Fox News' Power Rankings made changes to five key races, all centered in the Northeastern U.S., a region that's been trending more Democratic in recent years.

    The changes included, notably, the New York gubernatorial contest between incumbent Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican Congressman Lee Zeldin, which shifted from "solid Democratic" to "likely Democratic," and the race in the state's 17th Congressional District between Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney and Republican Mike Lawler, which shifted from "lean Democratic" to a toss-up.

    As I said, even DEMOCRAT sources are becoming more and more certain of their coming Uber Nuclear Biblical Shellacking... :D

    The facts are there, people.. It's only political hate and bigotry that is blocking ya'all's view of the facts.. :D

    2/20 :D :D :D :D

  4. [4] 
    Michale wrote:

    Speaking of FACTS.. :D

    Let's take a trip down memory lane and look at notable quotes from Senile Biden and Headboard Harris from the past couple years..

    These notable quotes are going to come back and bite ALL Democrats on the arse in 11 days.. :D

    "Talking inflation – the overwhelming consensus is it’s going to pop up a little bit and then go back down."

    Remember that one?? Remember when Biden said that inflation wasn't going to be any big deal.. Remember when inflation was "transitory"?? :D Who could have POSSIBLY thunked how completely and utterly WRONG Biden would be... Oh... wait.. :D

    "We have a secure border."
    -Headboard Harris

    Now THIS is a hilarious quote, eh?? ANYONE with more than 2 brain cells to rub together (yea, I know.. That leaves out most Democrats) knows for an absolute FACT that the southern border is not secure.. Maybe Headboard meant the NOTHERN border, eh?? hehehehehehehehehehe Considering she is such a moron that she doesn't know what's up or down, I guess that is as good an explanation as any.. :D

    "This is Jim Crow on steroids what they’re doing in Georgia and 40 other states."

    Remember when Biden said that the Georgia Voter Integrity laws were "Jim Crow 2.0 on steroids".. Well being that Biden is a Democrat, he knows ALL about Jim Crow as it was the Democrat Party who CREATED Jim Crow.. In other words, if Jim Crow had been an actual living person?? He would have been a Democrat.. This is fact.. But, getting back to the claim..

    What have we seen in Georgia?? A MASSIVE increase in voter turnout.. A MASSIVE increase in black American voter turnout..

    From the FACTS (not Democrat hysterical Fear Mongering, but FACTS...) we can plainly see that ALL Americans like voter integrity laws.. That, when the vote is protected, then MORE Americans want to vote and MORE Americans turn out to vote..

    Democrats (and MANY Weigantians® who made the exact same claims) were FLAT OUT, DEAD ON BALLZ **WRONG**. Of course will those Democrats and those Weigantians® ADMIT that they were wrong?? Of course not.. Being a Democrat means NEVER admitting your faults.. And, apparently, that goes DOUBLY so for being a Democrat Weigantian®.. What I wouldn't give for someone here to show a MODICUM... an INGOT of integrity and say, "Yep, Michale.. I was wrong.. You were dead on ballz accurate.." Of course, we all know that THAT will simply never happen.. :eyeroll:

    "The Justice Department in my administration will be totally independent of me."

    Another LAUGHABLE claim from Biden.. Again, it's obvious to ANYONE with more than 2 brain cells to rub together that Biden's DOJ is simply an extension of Biden's and the Democrats' parent hating, President Trump hating and America hating agenda...

    And the best one I saved for last..

    "For far too long the status quo thinking has been to believe that by putting more police on the street you're going to have more safety. And that's just wrong, that's not how it works."
    -Headboard Harris

    Yes, Headboard.. That is EXACTLY how it works..


    That's a stone cold fact that ANYONE with more than 2 brain cells to rub together knows.. Which explains why you obviously missed the boat with this quote..

    But I will say this for Headboard and Democrats.. Their cop hating bona fides are WELL established..

    It's even harder for cops today.. When I pinned on the badge and was on patrol, I knew that the criminals hated me and wanted me dead.. But back then, I knew that our leaders had my back..

    Today?? Democrat so-called "leaders" would just as soon spit on cops as look at them.. For Democrats all of the ills of society are laid at the feet of LEOs...

    From DEFUND DEMONIZE DEMORALIZE THE POLICE to TWENTY TWO YEARS (collectively) of Democrat BLM and AntiFa riots, Democrats have made their contempt for cops, their hate of LEOs widely known...

    And that, almost more than anything else, is why Democrats are going to lose and lose BIG in 11 days..

    Democrats are going to learn that you can only hate on cops and hate on America and hate on parents soo much before Americans rise up and take notice...

    I hope Democrats will enjoy their banishment to political purgatory knowing full well that they have fully and completely earned ALL of the scorn and ridicule and condemnation and refutation they are about to receive.. :D

    Gods bless America :D

    3/20 :D :D :D :D

  5. [5] 
    Michale wrote:


    Officer Lorenzo Morgan
    Colton Police Department, California
    End of Watch: Thursday, October 27, 2022

    And remind the few...
    When ill of us they speak..
    That we are all that stands between..
    The monsters and the weak...

  6. [6] 
    Michale wrote:

    Well, today is a good day for liberal tears.. :D


    Elon Musk's Twitter takeover makes the Left lose it: 'This is an emergency!'

    Elon Musk’s Twitter takeover makes the left lose it: ‘It’s like the gates of hell opened’

    Elon Musk finally closed the $44 billion deal on Thursday, promptly firing several of Twitter's top executives

    Billionaire industrialist Elon Musk took over Twitter Thursday night and immediately fired several top executives, sending shockwaves throughout the social media platform.

    CEO Parag Agrawal, CFO Ned Segal and head of legal policy, trust, and safety Vijaya Gadde were all fired after Musk had accused them of misleading him and investors over the number of fake accounts on the platform, a source with knowledge of the matter told FOX Business.

    Editor-in-chief of The Federalist Mollie Hemingway described the firings as "An excellent start" to Musk's tenure in a tweet.

    Chalk up ANOTHER loss for the democrats in a year REPLETE with losses... :D

    The snowflake melt-down over FREE SPEECH coming to Twitter warms the cockles of me heart.. :D

    Things just keep getting better and better.. :D

    5/20 :D :D :D :D

  7. [7] 
    Michale wrote:

    So, I read that Jean Claude Damn is being replaced as Press Secretary.. Apparently she is a flop as a spokesperson..

    Who knew that being black and being lesbian are NOT actual job qualifications.. :^/

    Jean Damn is being replaced with an old white guy... :D

    I guess Democrats are finding out that diversity != qualified.. :D

    Who knew!!??? :eyeroll:

    6/20 :D :D :D :D

  8. [8] 
    Michale wrote:

    In the interests of full disclosure, I will have to admit to some trepidation in the GA race..

    I mean, the facts are still clear..

    #1 Georgia is a College Football State...

    #2 Herschel Walker is a local hometown College Football Hero..

    So, those two pluses would seem to put him over the top.. But I must be honest and concede that Walker DOES have some baggage..

    BUT.. Warlock has much more baggage..

    AND Georgia IS a College Football state..

    AND.... Even Chuckie Schumer is conceding that things are going bad for Democrats in GA..

    Schumer caught on hot mic telling Biden Dems ‘in danger,’ ‘going downhill’ in Georgia Senate race

    Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) was caught on a hot mic telling President Biden Thursday that Democrats are “in danger” in at least one Senate race and admitting that the party is “going downhill” in the closely-watched Georgia contest.

    “That seat, we’re, we’re in danger in that seat,” Schumer could be heard telling the president on the tarmac at Syracuse Hancock International Airport.

    So... While I am not as confident in GA as I am in PA, AZ or NV... It still looks like it's going to be a GOOD WIN and a GOOD PICKUP for the GOP in GA...

    11 days and counting!! :D Aren't ya'all so excited!!! :D

    7/20 :D :D :D :D :D

  9. [9] 
    C. R. Stucki wrote:

    Does it ever occur to anybody else here that by far the most important reason we Americans suffer from the incompetence and stupidity of our government is that we nominate mostly incompetent and stupid people to run for public office?

    Our criteria for nominating and electing leaders are NEVER such things as competence, honesty, skill, integrity, knowledge and similar virtues.

    We nominate and elect people because of such superficial, meaningless factors such as Michael mentions ("local football hero"), or maybe "TV personality".

    I suppose we deserve what we wind up with.

  10. [10] 
    BashiBazouk wrote:

    The twitter takeover will be interesting. The feeling on most the tech forums I have been reading is between Musk taking over twitter and Meta flailing so badly, it's time to pop some popcorn and watch the unofficial seventh season of Silicon Valley. It's also creating a nice vacuum for something new, which is probably the biggest threat to both Twitter and Meta.

    Musk could go the Bezos route and have twitter as more of a vanity project but with cash burn. If he wants to make back his investment on Twitter then he doesn't really run it, the advertisers do. The other problem is twitter is international. Is Musk's idea with free speech compatible with EU regulations? Will he censor and ban users if China requests it? He has already shown some propensity to bend over for both China and Russia. How big an ideal is free speech if that Tesla factory is on the line?

    Then there is specter of Gonzalez v. Google floating above the whole thing like a dementor ready to feast...

  11. [11] 
    ListenWhenYouHear wrote:

    CRS [9]

    I agree with every word in this post! You are spot on!

    Republicans, more so than Democrats IMHO, have become a party that looks for candidates that people will trust in spite of the fact that they have no experience doing the job they are seeking. People who the public already knows well like Walker, Oz, JD Vance, Tommy Tubberville, Ronald Reagan and Donald Trump all were big on personality and that's it.

    And while Walker is a GOD amongst UGA alumni and fans, people do not realize that there are a large number of GA Tech and even larger number of Auburn fans living in GA. (Auburn Univ. is less than 2 hours from Atlanta. Not sure if this is still the case, but at one point if you lived in Atlanta you did not pay out of state fees to go to Auburn.)

    I know some UGA alumni that love Walker, but there is no way that they will vote for him. It is an embarrassment that the GOP believed that his being a black football legend would be enough for the GA voters to want him representing them. One more example of how the Republican Party treats their base as if they were idiots. Walker is a puppet who will do whatever his Republican handlers tell him to do... putting the GOP before his constituents every time.

  12. [12] 
    Michale wrote:

    Republicans, more so than Democrats IMHO, have become a party that looks for candidates that people will trust in spite of the fact that they have no experience doing the job they are seeking.

    I don't really think that's factually accurate..

    The majority of the Vanity Candidates have been on the Left Wing side of the political spectrum..

    Michelle Obama and Oprah Winfrey and Dwayne Johnson and Matthew McConaughey and Occasional Cortex are just a few of the MANY examples of this..

    Ronald Reagan and Donald Trump all were big on personality and that's it.

    Again, not really factually accurate.. Let's look at things objectively..

    Donald Trump's name WAS and IS synonymous with successful business and he was beloved, admired and honored by *Democrats* FOR that successful business acumen..

    The fact that he made an AWESOME POTUS is simply more proof of the same..

    It is an embarrassment that the GOP believed that his being a black football legend would be enough for the GA voters to want him representing them.

    Time will tell if that belief proves accurate or not..

    Let's compare notes in 12 days, eh? :D

    8/20 :D :D :D :D

  13. [13] 
    ListenWhenYouHear wrote:

    Michelle Obama and Oprah Winfrey and Dwayne Johnson and Matthew McConaughey and Occasional Cortex are just a few of the MANY examples of this..

    Yet not a single name listed above holds office or are running for office in any election. YOUR MANY examples are only in your hate-filled head. The ones I listed either hold office or are on the ballot for the mid-terms. YOUR FACTS are lies.

    But I will say this for Headboard and Democrats.. Their cop hating bona fides are WELL established..

    And just like your supposedly WELL established bona fides for your career in law enforcement, you can produce none! "Well established" usually would mean that they are known to the public... yet yours are no where to be found. You yourself have acknowledged that you weren't law enforcement in FL even though that is the only state's law enforcement academy that you claim to have graduated from. You claim to have lived in more than a dozen states, yet your background shows FL as where you have listed your residency since leaving the military. Then there is the matter of your criminal record. Odd that your bona fides as a criminal are better established than those for your claims of being in law enforcement.

    It's even harder for cops today.. When I pinned on the badge and was on patrol, I knew that the criminals hated me and wanted me dead..

    YEAH... First, I know that you think saying crap like that makes you sound "tough" and "jaded", but if that is how you think it explains why you never could pass a psych exam to get the job. Next, conspiracy thinking is a huge red flag for candidates seeking employment in law enforcement. And as you demonstrate here on almost a daily basis, you joyfully wallow in conspiracy thinking.

    Not saying that it wasn't that people didn't want you dead at any point in your life. But for anyone wanting to kill you, it had nothing to do with your job and everything to do with you as a person.

  14. [14] 
    Michale wrote:

    I mention the following, not as an illustration of how Democrats have lost the Senate.. There have been quite a few photons ran about that fact..

    No, the following is simply an example of how the Democrat Party in general and the Left Wing media have gotten so far off the reservation as to simply be unrecognizable as a force for keeping the American people informed..

    And how Democrats have simply lost ALL sense of sanity and propriety in what is acceptable in political campaigns..

    The painful story of how John Fetterman arrived at Tuesday night's humiliation

    For the first time in this election cycle, most of the people sitting around the restaurant bar casually watching the debate saw the depth of the effects of the stroke Lt. Gov. John Fetterman suffered in May when he began the debate Tuesday evening with a “good night” as his opening greeting.

    It only got worse from there.

    For 60 painful minutes, the York native and Harvard graduate, who had made his home in Western Pennsylvania for the last 20 years, struggled vividly with cognitive issues in handling the simplest of questions tossed his way during the debate.

    Most of the voters watching had surely seen him speak at small rallies, where he struggled but on the surface seemed OK. But only now were they fully realizing that he was just repeating memorized lines and could not actually comprehend when others tried to converse with him.

    Many of those watching had no idea how bad Fetterman's health was, causing disbelief that no one had reported this sooner. And many were angry that Democrats and reporters knew all about it and said nothing.

    The one reporter who did mention Fetterman's inability to converse — NBC news reporter Dasha Burns — was viciously attacked for her dispassionate reporting, not just from Fetterman's campaign and supporters but also by blue-check journalists on Twitter and her own NBC News colleague Savannah Guthrie.

    Unfortunately, the accurate story about Fetterman instead became a false story about Burns and even an attempt to destroy her career. This included a veiled threat from Fetterman's wife, who used her large platform to demand an apology from Burns while threatening consequences for her reporting. One has to wonder what those consequences could have been.

    And so the truth about John Fetterman's cognitive abilities remained buried, a secret, but a secret well-known to journalists with personal access to him since late July and to those who have observed him failing to comprehend anything his supporters say to him on the rope line.

    They said and wrote nothing. The question is, why? Were they afraid they would receive the vicious cancel treatment and threats that Burns got? Were they afraid they would hurt the political team they were not-so-secretly rooting for? Either reason is a stain on the journalistic profession — those culpable should really never again mock anyone who questions the honesty of the press.

    How bad have Democrats gotten that they would subject an OBVIOUSLY handicapped person to such embarrassment and ridicule just based on the ever so fleeting (and retreating) possibility of actually prevailing in a Senate election??

    This rivals with the "practical joke" of electing Carrie as the prom queen, setting her up for the buckets of pigs blood shower for cruelty and inhumane treatment..

    As an isolated incident, this would be bad enough... In everyday life there would be charges of handicap abuse floating around and being seriously considered...

    But we see this in how Democrats put Biden, a man obviously suffering from senility if not dementia who has achieved the dubious distinction of committing a gaffe a day..

    If Biden is not claiming that gas was over 5 bucks a gallon when he was elected (it was $2.39 a gallon) then he is claiming that Headboard Harris is a "great President" who is the first black Indian in any administration.. And then Biden goes on to claim that he passed the Student Loan Forgiveness thru Congress "by a vote or two"..

    Are ya'all seeing the pattern here??

    Democrats are in DAMN THE TORPEDOES FULL SPEED AHEAD mode and pushing handicapped people into impossible situations. People who are blatantly and obviously not mentally equipped to function in those situations..

    And all for what?? Trying to desperately grasp SOME semblance of credibility and hold on to whatever vestige of power they can??

    What's it going to take for Democrats to realize that they have lost??

    How many lives are Democrats going to destroy in their futile pursuit of victory??


  15. [15] 
    Michale wrote:

    Yet not a single name listed above holds office or are running for office in any election.

    And yet, every one of those names have been mentioned by Democrats as a desirable candidate.. Which is what you were speaking to..

    baseless and factless personal attacks ignored...

    We were doing so well, Russ.. Then you had to revert to form and bring up your baseless and factless BS personal attacks..



    10/20 :D :D :D :D

  16. [16] 
    Michale wrote:

    Another assessment of the cruelty and inhumane acts of the Democrat Party, as explained in comment #14

    How long will Democratic voters continue to allow themselves to be treated like fools?

    “Biden-Fetterman 2024” was the assessment of one wag on Twitter after the car-crash debate performance of John Fetterman, the Democrats’ stroke-damaged Senate candidate in Pennsylvania.

    “In 2022, a debate performance like [Fetterman’s] can accurately be called ‘presidential,’?” quipped another.

    Boom. Boom.

    Why do Democrats insist on putting cognitively impaired people on the ticket? It’s cruel.

    From a 79-year-old president who gets lost and goes wandering every time he gives a speech, to Fetterman, another special-needs candidate who could not utter a coherent sentence on stage against the GOP’s Dr. Mehmet Oz Tuesday evening, the ­sociopathic ruthlessness of the Democratic machine is on full display.

    It’s cruel to dwell on Fetterman’s performance. However repellent his policies, the poor man had a debilitating stroke five months ago.

    Suffice to say that, while the gaslighting Philadelphia Inquirer declared Fetterman the winner with flying colors, that says more about the newspaper’s contempt for its readers than it does about the reality.

    Democrats really need to take a good long look at themselves in the mirror..

    Perhaps some deep soul searching as to how they can live with themselves after what they have done to human beings like John Fetterman...


  17. [17] 
    Michale wrote:

    Is the mid terms really up for grabs??


    MSNBC pundit terrified about midterms for Democrats: ‘I’m really scared about a bloodbath’

    Donny Deutsch noted that economic issues were 'about survival' for many voters

    MSNBC's Donny Deutsch claimed he is "really scared about a bloodbath" for Democrats in the upcoming midterm elections.

    A frequent guest on MSNBC’s "Morning Joe," Deutsch appeared on the program Friday and gave his dire warning about Democratic candidates getting destroyed in the midterms because of the economic issues facing everyday Americans.

    Deutsch insisted that no matter how important Roe v. Wade is to Democrats, or how "crazy" Republicans seem, "nothing else matters" to Americans with families who are barely getting by in this economy.

    Deutsch continued, "Now, you could scare them and say, ‘It could get worse. They could take your health care away.’ I mean, that’s a strategy to go," though his tone conveyed that that may not be the optimal strategy with people who are so concerned about their finances.

    He added, "But, you know, if she is representative of a big part of the populace, and she is, and now let’s even factor in people who have seen their IRAs, not a woman like that necessarily, but who have seen their IRAs go down by 20, 25 percent — it’s really tough."

    Deutsch suggested that many voters won’t care enough about allegations of GOP craziness when they’re preoccupied with the economy: "And I’ve come on the show and talked a lot about that you’ve got to scare people and make it about the Republicans that are crazy people, but even with the pending crazy, when you can’t afford to buy the stuff that you were able to buy a year or two or three years ago, it’s tough, tough sledding."

    Deutsch concluded with his dire midterm warning: "I’m really — I am really scared about a bloodbath ten days from now."

    Because, from all the available FACTS...

    It seems that, as a whole, Democrats are accepting of the fact that there is going to be an Uber Nuclear Biblical Shellacking "Bloodbath" of the Democrat Party??

    For some reason...

    "Up For Grabs" just doesn't seem to be the reality here.. Doesn't seem to be the phrase that Democrats are using... :D

    I'm just sayin.. :D

    11/20 :D :D :D :D

  18. [18] 
    Michale wrote:


    The above ^^^^ comment was 12/20... Apologies for the error..

    Moving on..

    Leave it to frakin' Democrats to even FRAK UP Halloween!!

    Students rip 'woke' colleges for Halloween 'offensive' costume warnings: 'Don't think that's their place'

    Colleges nationwide are urging students not to engage in 'cultural appropriation' when dressing up in their Halloween costumes, but students say it is not their place to tell them what to wear

    Colleges across America are warning students of "cultural appropriation" as they prepare to dress up for Halloween, giving tips on how to avoid offending others.

    Schools such as the University of Wisconsin-Madison, Ohio University, University of Colorado-Boulder, University of Nebraska-Lincoln and the University of Michigan are all encouraging students to choose a Halloween costume that does not appropriate another culture.

    The University of Wisconsin-Madison has a webpage dedicated to "Halloween cultural awareness" which states that students should avoid "racist, crude, or culturally insensitive" costumes.

    "When somebody adopts aspects of a culture that’s not their own, it is often viewed as disrespectful when cultural elements are copied from a marginalized culture by members of the dominant culture and used outside of their cultural context," the webpage states.

    The University of Wisconsin-Madison said even pop star Katy Perry is guilty of cultural appropriation as "several" of her music videos appropriate other cultures and use "stereotyped costumes." UW-Madison did not specify which music videos culturally appropriate, however.

    Jesuzz H Frakin' Christ!!!

    One REALLY has to wonder how long this politically correct utter felgercarp will last..

    Such complete and utter CRAP has cost Democrats dearly in the mid-terms..

    Get a clue, Democrats.. :eyeroll: It's garbage like this ^^^^ that makes Americans hate everything about Democrats..


    13/20 :D :D :D :D :D

  19. [19] 
    Michale wrote:

    And in the CAN YA BELIEVE THEY WENT THERE!!??? department??

    ‘Very racist': ‘De facto’ Senate candidate Gisele Fetterman makes bizarre claim about swimming

    'Historically, swimming in America is very racist,' Giselle Fetterman claimed

    Gisele Fetterman, the wife of Pennsylvania Senate candidate Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, claimed that "swimming in America is very racist," weeks after being called the "de facto candidate" in her husband's Senate race following his stroke.

    Gisele began speaking about the lieutenant governor's mansion in Pennsylvania and how the couple wanted to open up the pool to the public in an effort to "right some of the wrongs" of "racist" swimming.

    "While we did not want the mansion, that mansion came with a pool I wanted. And the dream was to make this a public pool and turn it into the people’s pool and ensure that young people across Pennsylvania could learn how to swim and water safety and kind of work to right some of the wrongs," Gisele stated during her segment with the "iGen Politics" podcast.

    "Historically, swimming in America is very racist, and usually when you look at drowning statistics, it usually affects children of color because of lack of access," she claimed.

    Get that, people???

    According to Democrats, "swimming is racist".. :eyeroll:

    I dunno if Democrats feel that black Americans CAN'T swim or what??

    But it's OBVIOUS that the de-facto PA Senate Democrat Candidate feels that black Americans need floaties or something.. :eyeroll:

    And ya'all wonder why America is going to throw Democrats out of office en-masse in about 11 days, eh??


    SWIMMING IS RACIST!! THAT's a new one.. :eyeroll:

    "Endangered Dirt... THAT's a new one.."
    -Christian Slater, BROKEN ARROW


    Yunno.. I should probably be polite and not ridicule Democrats so much.. But they make it so damn easy!!! :D

    14/20 :D :D :D :D :D :D

  20. [20] 
    Michale wrote:

    Well, lookie here...

    Even WITH me being restricted all to hell....

    MY comments are STILL 73.68% of the total!!! :D

    Ya'all STILL want to go with the ludicrous idea that my volume of comments are the problem here..??? :D

    Because, what with ALL the FACTS.... It seems that there may be other issues at work here...

    I'm just sayin'... :D

    15/20 :D :D :D :D :D :D

  21. [21] 
    Michale wrote:

    Welp, that's all for me..


    Just let me say...

    "So long and thanx for all the fish.."

    Or, in the immortal words of Captain James T Kirk...


  22. [22] 
    C. R. Stucki wrote:

    Michale [12]

    Re "Trump being a successful businessman". That is ridiculous, the guy failed at everything he ever did, something like a half-dozen bankruptcies. His business acumen served to piss away most of the $400 million his dad accumulated. He isn't even truly rich now, in spite of how much he claims to be.

  23. [23] 
    Kick wrote:

    Russ nails it!

    Republicans, more so than Democrats IMHO, have become a party that looks for candidates that people will trust in spite of the fact that they have no experience doing the job they are seeking. People who the public already knows well like Walker, Oz, JD Vance, Tommy Tubberville, Ronald Reagan and Donald Trump all were big on personality and that's it.

    ~ ListenWhenYouHear

    Stucki makes a great point, and Russ nails it!

    I don't really think that's factually accurate..

    You don't really think; that's factually accurate.

    ^^^^^ Fixed it for you ^^^^^

    The majority of the Vanity Candidates have been on the Left Wing side of the political spectrum..


    Michelle Obama: Never a candidate
    Oprah Winfrey: Never a candidate
    Dwayne Johnson: Never a candidate
    Matthew McConaughey: Never a candidate
    Occasional Cortex: Candidate who is infinitely smarter than you but definitely wasn't a celebrity candidate.

    ... are just a few of the MANY examples of this..

    Are ZERO examples of this.

    And yet, every one of those names have been mentioned by Democrats as a desirable candidate.. Which is what you were speaking to..

    Incorrect. Russ specifically listed actual candidates. Then you spouted off incorrectly with a list of so-called "Vanity Candidates" (your term) and then gave examples of people who aren't even "candidates" and one candidate smarter than you but who definitely wasn't a well-known celebrity.

    In conclusion: You proved Russ's dead-on-accurate assessment while also proving you don't know the definition of "candidate."

    Point to Russ.

    _________***** SCOREBOARD *****_________

    Russ: 1
    Troll: Big Fat Zero

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