[ Posted Thursday, January 27th, 2022 – 17:18 UTC ]
Joe Biden just got the best numbers of his presidency, and they have nothing to do with opinion polls. The Commerce Department today released the economic numbers for last year, and they are nothing short of phenomenal. Hopefully the media will make as big a deal over this success as they have been about inflation, because people really should have some overall context for the true state of the American economy. But if the media fails to spotlight the great economic news adequately enough, then Democrats shouldn't let them get away with it -- Democrats should continually remind the voters how good the news is and how much the economy has recovered from the pandemic, with every chance they get.
Let's take a look at the numbers themselves. Growth in the fourth quarter of 2021 clocked in at an astounding annualized rate of 6.9 percent. For the whole year -- and already adjusted for inflation -- the Gross Domestic Product grew at the whopping rate of 5.7 percent, which far outstripped all predictions made at the start of the year.
This is historically-high growth. The last time a number like this was seen was 1984, when Ronald Reagan was president (1984's G.D.P. growth was 7.2 percent). America's economy has completely recovered from the pandemic slump, pretty much no matter which way you measure it. The economy is not only bigger than it was pre-pandemic -- a mark it hit in the second quarter of this year -- but it is now almost exactly where it would have been if the growth that predated the pandemic had occurred without interruption. That is a full recovery.
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[ Posted Wednesday, January 26th, 2022 – 15:46 UTC ]
Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer has unofficially announced his impending retirement from the highest court in the land. He deserves thanks from all Democrats for doing so. By making this announcement now, Breyer has shown he has learned the lesson of Ruth Bader Ginsburg's death. And since it was such an important and painful lesson, it's gratifying to see Breyer now put the interests of the court itself above his own. For that, he deserves gratitude.
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[ Posted Tuesday, January 25th, 2022 – 18:02 UTC ]
Republicans, fresh off an upset victory in the Virginia governor's race, are planning to make education a major political issue in the midterm elections. Democrats are going to need to come up with some way of fighting back if they're going to have any chance in November. But so far, Democrats seem to be on the defensive, without a coherent strategy of what the party stands for or how they're going to present it to the public.
It seems obvious that the COVID-19 pandemic is the heart of the issue, at least right now. That could change, but that's what brought the issue into the realm of politics in the first place. When the nation locked down, schoolchildren began learning remotely on a scale never before seen. Practically, this meant that parents got a much closer look at what and how their children were being taught. Add to this the fake rage the Republicans have already been feeding over "Critical Race Theory" and you can see why the GOP thinks it is such a potent issue for them right now. It certainly seemed to work wonders in Virginia, after all.
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[ Posted Monday, January 24th, 2022 – 16:21 UTC ]
For the first time since the Cold War, the nightmare of direct military conflict between what used to be called either "great powers" or "superpowers" seems not to be such a remote possibility anymore. Russia and the United States are in a faceoff over Ukraine. China, meanwhile, is testing the defenses of Taiwan in an unprecedented way. So I thought today was a good day to review a little history.
The people who founded the United States of America did so almost immediately after what could today be called "World War Zero" -- the first-ever military conflict between empires that stretched over the entire globe (although, admittedly, historians quibble about this designation, but it's close enough for our purposes). Americans learn about only one "theater" of this war, the part that happened here. We call it the "French and Indian War," but schoolchildren in Canada and Britain learn about it as the "Seven Years' War." Part of why upstart America was able to defeat the English militarily was due to them having recently fought a much larger war, in fact. No matter what you call it, this war was fought between the large world powers of the day (France, Britain, Prussia, Spain, Austria, Russia) and took place not only in North America, but also in Europe, South America, Africa, India, the Philippines, and in the Caribbean. To me, that's a "world war."
For America's Founders, this was all common knowledge -- they had lived through it, after all. Which is why the United States (a very small and insignificant nation, at the time) was deathly afraid of getting entangled in alliances with any of the European powers (even France, without whom we never would have won the Revolution). Very early on in our history, the "XYZ Affair" scandal (and quasi-war) also cemented this fear of foreign intrigue.
This is why the leaders of the two American political parties at the time (which, as now, had radically different ideas as to what America should be) did largely agree upon one bedrock tenet of foreign policy. Here is George Washington, from his farewell speech: "It is our true policy to steer clear of permanent alliance with any portion of the foreign world." And from a few years later, Thomas Jefferson's inaugural pledge: "Peace, commerce, and honest friendship with all nations -- entangling alliances with none."
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[ Posted Friday, January 21st, 2022 – 17:37 UTC ]
It was an eventful week in Washington, with a holiday and an anniversary thrown in for good measure, so we're going to try to be a little more succinct in this week's rundown. Well... try to, at any rate.
The week began with Martin Luther King Junior Day, saw a historic (but failed) vote in the Senate on voting rights, contained a marathon of a presidential press conference, and marked the first year President Joe Biden has spent in office. Plus a whole lot of other notable developments along the way.
The biggest of the other developments of the week surrounded the investigation into the January 6th insurrection attempt, which seems to have picked up pace in a considerable way. These efforts were aided this week by the Supreme Court ruling 8-1 that Donald Trump's papers at the National Archive could indeed be turned over to the House investigating committee. His claims of executive privilege were essentially laughed out of court, and the transfer has already begun. Which immediately led to the leak of a jaw-dropping document in Politico, which published an extraordinary Trump draft executive order in full. The White House was fully prepared -- although the order was never actually given -- for federal agents to seize voting machines across the country. This is astounding news, and puts the lie to anyone who thinks the events of that day or Trump's connection to them have somehow been "overblown." The president's lawyers put together a document where the federal government would have aided and abetted the stealing of a presidential election. "Stunning" doesn't even begin to describe this development.
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[ Posted Thursday, January 20th, 2022 – 16:53 UTC ]
One year ago today, Joe Biden was sworn in as president of the United States. His Inauguration was notable for a few reasons, first and foremost the fact that it happened only two weeks after the U.S. Capitol had been besieged and overrun by insurrectionists attempting to prevent Biden from ever taking office. So the entire Capitol complex was heavily locked down and defended for what is normally a positive and upbeat public ceremony. The other two notable reasons that stick in my mind were: Amanda Gorman absolutely stealing the show with her poem "The Hill We Climb," and Bernie Sanders providing the best photo op by sitting on a socially-distanced chair wearing adorable homemade mittens.
Since it is precisely one year later, the traditional thing to do is to review Biden's performance in office over the past year. There are many ways a new president could be rated, of course, so I just settled on one to give my overall impressions and conclusions.
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[ Posted Wednesday, January 19th, 2022 – 17:41 UTC ]
I am writing this after watching a rather extraordinary press conference with President Joe Biden. It was extraordinary for two reasons, really -- it was only the second such press conference he's given on U.S. soil since becoming president, and it was monumentally long, clocking in at just under two hours. It was a true marathon of a presser, as Biden seemed almost reluctant to end it -- and at several times even kidded with the reporters that he could go for another two or three hours if they were up for it. Perhaps he was making up for the lack of regular press conferences in his first year by giving what amounted to a double press conference to begin his second?
Throughout it all, Biden seemed fairly calm and well-versed in the issues he was asked about. He gave detailed answers to virtually every question he was asked, and only showed a flare of anger at one particular line of questioning. He made some news with his answers, on Russia, on the prospects for his Democratic agenda in Congress, on elections, and on what he's going to do differently in his second year.
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[ Posted Tuesday, January 18th, 2022 – 16:39 UTC ]
Every so often I see a political ad that really catches my eye. Even rarer are those that bowl me over for being particularly effective or powerful. But the rarest of all is seeing an ad that makes me want to move to that state just so I could vote for the guy. Today was one of those days.
Most long-time readers already know that while this is not quite a "one-issue-voter" issue for me, it is one I have strongly advocated for and celebrated the progress of over the past few decades -- progress that, to me (when I first started blogging), was beyond my wildest dreams. So it's entirely in character that the issue being addressed by Gary Chambers, a candidate for the United States Senate in Louisiana, is marijuana law reform. But I have never seen the issue championed quite so forcefully.
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[ Posted Monday, January 17th, 2022 – 17:29 UTC ]
Today, on the federal holiday celebrating the birthday of Dr. Martin Luther King Junior, his son Martin Luther King III travelled to Arizona to express his displeasure with Senator Kyrsten Sinema after she crushed the hopes of all those wishing to see modern voting rights legislation pass into law. "History will remember Sen. Sinema, I believe unkindly, for her position on the filibuster," said King's eldest son and namesake, and he pointed out in an interview: "Our daughter has less rights around voting than she had when she was born. I can’t imagine what my mother and father would say about that. I'm sure they’re turning over and over in their graves about this."
Those are some pretty strong words, but Sinema has earned such condemnation. Together with Joe Manchin of West Virginia, they have stood firmly for the rights of a minority of senators to prevent a majority from enacting federal voting rights laws -- which would stop or overturn the voter suppression measures that have passed on party-line votes in legislatures all over the country. Sinema sanctimoniously tried to take the high road and paint her stance as one for "bipartisanship," but by doing so she completely ignores the fact that we are in this situation precisely because of partisanship at the state level and partisanship in the Senate. She is unilaterally disarming the Democrats in the face of such partisanship, seeking a bipartisanship which simply does not exist anymore in the United States Senate. She stood up for parliamentary procedure (that is included nowhere in the U.S. Constitution) over basic constitutional rights. King is right -- history will not remember her actions kindly.
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[ Posted Friday, January 14th, 2022 – 16:56 UTC ]
We're not quite sure exactly what to call what we witnessed this week in Washington. We know it's not "regicide," since we don't have kings here. So what, exactly? Execucide? Presidenticide? Legicide? Particide? Whatever neologism you prefer, however (and feel free to suggest your own in the comments...), what we saw this week was the strangulation of Joe Biden's presidency and the Democratic Party's political agenda. It happened mostly in public, as two supposedly-Democratic senators killed all hope of anything important getting done for the entire rest of the year (if not for the rest of Biden's term). This will likely doom Democrats' chances in the midterms and will likely also cement the legacy (whether justified or not) of Biden's term in office as a president who was weak, ineffective, and a massive disappointment to most of the Democratic Party.
Senators Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema personally strangled Biden's hopes for accomplishing much of anything more than he already has, and by doing so they did more political damage to Biden's presidency and their own party than Donald Trump, Mitch McConnell, and Kevin McCarthy could have managed combined. That's how disappointing the entire tragedy truly was, for millions of Democratic voters.
Midterm congressional elections depend on turnout of the base. But why should any Black southern voter even bother to brave the hours-long lines when their own party and their own preferred presidential candidate have proven to be so ineffective in delivering for them? Why should any parent get excited about voting for a Democrat when the party couldn't even manage to continue the Child Tax Credit payments for another year? Why should anyone who cares about justice and democracy make the effort to vote when their elected officials quite obviously care about arcane parliamentary procedure far more than securing their right to vote?
It's been that kind of week, sadly.
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