Comments on: Electoral Math -- One Month Out http://www.chrisweigant.com/2024/10/08/electoral-math-one-month-out/ Reality-based political commentary Mon, 06 Apr 2026 18:49:38 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.1 hourly 1 By: Kick http://www.chrisweigant.com/2024/10/08/electoral-math-one-month-out/#comment-212037 Kick Thu, 10 Oct 2024 21:55:42 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=25628#comment-212037 nypoet22 6 In my defense, I did lose count. I'll try harder next time. :) nypoet22
6

In my defense, I did lose count.

I'll try harder next time. :)

]]> By: nypoet22 http://www.chrisweigant.com/2024/10/08/electoral-math-one-month-out/#comment-211991 nypoet22 Wed, 09 Oct 2024 03:22:42 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=25628#comment-211991 only one? You're clearly not trying hard enough. only one? You're clearly not trying hard enough.

]]> By: Kick http://www.chrisweigant.com/2024/10/08/electoral-math-one-month-out/#comment-211990 Kick Wed, 09 Oct 2024 03:18:44 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=25628#comment-211990 <i>Maine hasn't had any new polling, but it seems like a sure bet for Harris, at least to me. </i> Remember that Maine awards its 4 ECVs via the congressional district method. Although Harris is likely to win District 1 and 3 and thus the State of Maine (3) total ECVs, Trump is likely to win (1) from District 2. Remember that for Nebraska's 5 ECVs, Harris is likely to win District 2 (1) with Trump winning the other 3 districts and thus the State of Nebraska and (4) total ECVs. People like to claim that these "zero each other out," but they really don't do that since they represent voters that are definitely counted. Maine hasn't had any new polling, but it seems like a sure bet for Harris, at least to me.

Remember that Maine awards its 4 ECVs via the congressional district method. Although Harris is likely to win District 1 and 3 and thus the State of Maine (3) total ECVs, Trump is likely to win (1) from District 2.

Remember that for Nebraska's 5 ECVs, Harris is likely to win District 2 (1) with Trump winning the other 3 districts and thus the State of Nebraska and (4) total ECVs.

People like to claim that these "zero each other out," but they really don't do that since they represent voters that are definitely counted.

]]> By: Elizabeth Miller http://www.chrisweigant.com/2024/10/08/electoral-math-one-month-out/#comment-211987 Elizabeth Miller Wed, 09 Oct 2024 02:14:28 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=25628#comment-211987 Heh. Heh.

]]> By: Kick http://www.chrisweigant.com/2024/10/08/electoral-math-one-month-out/#comment-211986 Kick Wed, 09 Oct 2024 02:13:49 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=25628#comment-211986 Okay, you have to admit you've had one too many alcoholic beverages when you literally quote a sentence regarding the Electoral College vote and then question the veracity when it clearly states "Electoral College vote." So... I've had one too many alcoholic beverages. Okay, you have to admit you've had one too many alcoholic beverages when you literally quote a sentence regarding the Electoral College vote and then question the veracity when it clearly states "Electoral College vote."

So... I've had one too many alcoholic beverages.

]]> By: Kick http://www.chrisweigant.com/2024/10/08/electoral-math-one-month-out/#comment-211985 Kick Wed, 09 Oct 2024 02:04:37 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=25628#comment-211985 <i>If the polls all prove to be right, Harris will win 51 percent of the Electoral College vote, while Trump will wind up with 49 percent -- which is about as close as things can be.</i> Trump will win 49% of the popular vote? In the United States? 49%? I'll believe that when I see it. If the polls all prove to be right, Harris will win 51 percent of the Electoral College vote, while Trump will wind up with 49 percent -- which is about as close as things can be.

Trump will win 49% of the popular vote? In the United States? 49%?

I'll believe that when I see it.

]]> By: Elizabeth Miller http://www.chrisweigant.com/2024/10/08/electoral-math-one-month-out/#comment-211983 Elizabeth Miller Wed, 09 Oct 2024 00:55:57 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=25628#comment-211983 <i>Storm impacts aside, as you can see the race for the White House is both incredibly close and incredibly static.</i> I guess that shouldn't be much of a surprise, storm impacts aside, because both Harris and Trump want to out-do each other in terms of who can be best at expanding fossil fuel development. It really would be laughable if so many lives weren't being lost or destroyed because of it - in the US and, indeed, across the planet. And, if that wasn't bad enough, disaster relief agencies in the US are running out of money in the wake of Hurricane Helene and the impending ruinous Hurricane Milton. Congress members, however, have no plans to return to Washington before the election in order to approve more funding. Again, laughable if it weren't so damaging to peoples' lives. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/07/hurricanes-eroding-washingtons-disaster-programs-00182784 Storm impacts aside, as you can see the race for the White House is both incredibly close and incredibly static.

I guess that shouldn't be much of a surprise, storm impacts aside, because both Harris and Trump want to out-do each other in terms of who can be best at expanding fossil fuel development.

It really would be laughable if so many lives weren't being lost or destroyed because of it - in the US and, indeed, across the planet.

And, if that wasn't bad enough, disaster relief agencies in the US are running out of money in the wake of Hurricane Helene and the impending ruinous Hurricane Milton. Congress members, however, have no plans to return to Washington before the election in order to approve more funding.

Again, laughable if it weren't so damaging to peoples' lives.

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/07/hurricanes-eroding-washingtons-disaster-programs-00182784

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