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	<title>Comments on: Three States To Watch In Tomorrow&#039;s Elections</title>
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		<title>By: nypoet22</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2023/11/06/three-states-to-watch-in-tomorrows-elections/#comment-204767</link>
		<dc:creator>nypoet22</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Nov 2023 18:09:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=24308#comment-204767</guid>
		<description>&lt;I&gt;Biden and his neocon colleagues took that choice away from Ukraine and made it for them by insisting,&lt;/I&gt;

No, Vladimir Putin took the choice away by invading, and all evidence suggests that would have happened regardless of all things NATO</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Biden and his neocon colleagues took that choice away from Ukraine and made it for them by insisting,</i></p>
<p>No, Vladimir Putin took the choice away by invading, and all evidence suggests that would have happened regardless of all things NATO</p>
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		<title>By: MtnCaddy</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2023/11/06/three-states-to-watch-in-tomorrows-elections/#comment-204765</link>
		<dc:creator>MtnCaddy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Nov 2023 14:47:07 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Restoring control over former Warsaw pact countries would not double but triple the population under Russian control. Not going to happen.


A note on nuclear blackmail:


Russia has been rattling this sword from virtually the opening of it’s full scale invasion in an attempt to stop the flow of military support to Ukraine. Time and again Putin has laid down an Obama-like “red line” and it only works on the hand wringing self soiling Democratic Party types worldwide (see meaningless polls of people who answer phone calls from unknown numbers, ahem.) We have sailed through a couple dozen such threats in these 21 months and we’re still here. Another thing: Russian equipment and the entire military for that matter is rife with corruption resulting in incompetence and equipment failure. I wouldn’t be all that confident that their nuclear arsenal &lt;i&gt;would even work if called upon&lt;/i&gt;. And since Western intelligence knows what Putin will be having for lunch before he even wakes up it’s understood that there is no scenario where Putin survives if he launches even one tactical nuke.





Elizabeth &lt;b&gt;just say NO to appeasement!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Restoring control over former Warsaw pact countries would not double but triple the population under Russian control. Not going to happen.</p>
<p>A note on nuclear blackmail:</p>
<p>Russia has been rattling this sword from virtually the opening of it’s full scale invasion in an attempt to stop the flow of military support to Ukraine. Time and again Putin has laid down an Obama-like “red line” and it only works on the hand wringing self soiling Democratic Party types worldwide (see meaningless polls of people who answer phone calls from unknown numbers, ahem.) We have sailed through a couple dozen such threats in these 21 months and we’re still here. Another thing: Russian equipment and the entire military for that matter is rife with corruption resulting in incompetence and equipment failure. I wouldn’t be all that confident that their nuclear arsenal <i>would even work if called upon</i>. And since Western intelligence knows what Putin will be having for lunch before he even wakes up it’s understood that there is no scenario where Putin survives if he launches even one tactical nuke.</p>
<p>Elizabeth <b>just say NO to appeasement!</b></p>
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		<title>By: dsws</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2023/11/06/three-states-to-watch-in-tomorrows-elections/#comment-204750</link>
		<dc:creator>dsws</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Nov 2023 03:30:45 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Any third-rate regional power can come up with hogwash as justification for its claim on the territory and wealth of its smaller neighbors.  Every such entity has done so throughout history, and presumably before the invention of writing as well.  No one cares what the details of the hogwash are, not even the people who write it.  

Russia completely lacks the conventional military power to restore imperial control over the former territory of its empire, unless the rest of the world allows it to do so one little bite at a time.  There is no possible reason for the rest of the world would possibly allow that, except nuclear blackmail.

Even if, by some impossibility, this is the one case in all of history where the hogwash isn&#039;t hogwash, and Russia has wonderful altruistic reasons for once again extending its tendrils across Poland, East Germany, the Baltics, and central Asia, &lt;i&gt;it wouldn&#039;t matter.&lt;/i&gt;  Future third-rate regional powers have no reason to believe it.  They wouldn&#039;t distinguish those reasons from the historical norm.  All they would see is the nuclear blackmail, and they would build their arsenals, just as they will in our world.  We&#039;re just as dead either way.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Any third-rate regional power can come up with hogwash as justification for its claim on the territory and wealth of its smaller neighbors.  Every such entity has done so throughout history, and presumably before the invention of writing as well.  No one cares what the details of the hogwash are, not even the people who write it.  </p>
<p>Russia completely lacks the conventional military power to restore imperial control over the former territory of its empire, unless the rest of the world allows it to do so one little bite at a time.  There is no possible reason for the rest of the world would possibly allow that, except nuclear blackmail.</p>
<p>Even if, by some impossibility, this is the one case in all of history where the hogwash isn't hogwash, and Russia has wonderful altruistic reasons for once again extending its tendrils across Poland, East Germany, the Baltics, and central Asia, <i>it wouldn't matter.</i>  Future third-rate regional powers have no reason to believe it.  They wouldn't distinguish those reasons from the historical norm.  All they would see is the nuclear blackmail, and they would build their arsenals, just as they will in our world.  We're just as dead either way.</p>
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