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	<title>Comments on: Cautious Pandemic Optimism</title>
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	<description>Reality-based political commentary</description>
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		<item>
		<title>By: TheStig</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-181051</link>
		<dc:creator>TheStig</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Oct 2021 17:07:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-181051</guid>
		<description>Harris:  have you been COVID vaccinated?

Since you will ask if I have, the answer is yes.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Harris:  have you been COVID vaccinated?</p>
<p>Since you will ask if I have, the answer is yes.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: TheStig</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180999</link>
		<dc:creator>TheStig</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 17 Oct 2021 13:55:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180999</guid>
		<description>DH-42

The definition of propaganda is pretty broad, but you seem seem to use the term in the sense of spreading disinformation, or more plainly, lies, for political purposes.  What disinformation do you see in the paper? Be specific.   


The Bayesian Statistics applied in the paper are mainstream in the field of epidemiology. The paper was subjected to peer review. Are all the professionals wrong?  What are your professional qualifications?  You don&#039;t seem have any.

If there is any propagandist in this little drama, it is you! Time for you to S.T.F.U.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>DH-42</p>
<p>The definition of propaganda is pretty broad, but you seem seem to use the term in the sense of spreading disinformation, or more plainly, lies, for political purposes.  What disinformation do you see in the paper? Be specific.   </p>
<p>The Bayesian Statistics applied in the paper are mainstream in the field of epidemiology. The paper was subjected to peer review. Are all the professionals wrong?  What are your professional qualifications?  You don't seem have any.</p>
<p>If there is any propagandist in this little drama, it is you! Time for you to S.T.F.U.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Elizabeth Miller</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180980</link>
		<dc:creator>Elizabeth Miller</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 16 Oct 2021 01:19:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180980</guid>
		<description>TS,

Mass viral testing is NEVER a good idea.

Testing needs to be strategic and part of a larger package of public health measures (isolating cases, tracing all close contacts and quarantining those contacts and supporting them through their quarantine) if it is going to be effective.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>TS,</p>
<p>Mass viral testing is NEVER a good idea.</p>
<p>Testing needs to be strategic and part of a larger package of public health measures (isolating cases, tracing all close contacts and quarantining those contacts and supporting them through their quarantine) if it is going to be effective.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: TheStig</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180977</link>
		<dc:creator>TheStig</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Oct 2021 20:20:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180977</guid>
		<description>EM-39

My point, and the point of the paper I cited, is:

&lt;b&gt; At this stage in the epidemic, mass testing for infection doesn&#039;t buy much benefit compared to mass vaccination.&lt;/b&gt;

Inappropriate mass viral testing poses significant social, educational and economic risks to individuals that are not currently outweighed by trivial benefits to the population at large.

A fully vaccinated individual is very unlikely to suffer death or hospitalization from COVID. A fully vaccinated individual is also very unlikely to infect an unvaccinated person..at home, school or the workplace. Determining who is at low risk is simple: just ask for their vaccination card (and make a phone call to determine if the card is valid or bogus).  

In contrast, testing individuals for COVID infection at work, school etc. is very inefficient.  The tests are often wrong... especially in younger populations. Even if the test does correctly identify a COVID carrier, the virus has likely spread to others by the time you send the individual home. On the other hand, if the flagged individual is a false positive, this will become apparent in a short period of time.  The flagged individual will be mad as hell about the mistake and let everybody know about it. The local news will only be too happy to spread the story.  We don&#039;t need more gasoline on the existing social fire.

Yes, direct testing for the virus can be useful in some circumstances...but mostly as early warning at the population level. We are well past the early warning phase of the epidemic. Late warning is at best pointless, at worst it is highly divisive.

Harris - you constantly spout slogans you can&#039;t back up.  When you try, you look foolish. Check out your converts to post ratio. Sad.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>EM-39</p>
<p>My point, and the point of the paper I cited, is:</p>
<p><b> At this stage in the epidemic, mass testing for infection doesn't buy much benefit compared to mass vaccination.</b></p>
<p>Inappropriate mass viral testing poses significant social, educational and economic risks to individuals that are not currently outweighed by trivial benefits to the population at large.</p>
<p>A fully vaccinated individual is very unlikely to suffer death or hospitalization from COVID. A fully vaccinated individual is also very unlikely to infect an unvaccinated person..at home, school or the workplace. Determining who is at low risk is simple: just ask for their vaccination card (and make a phone call to determine if the card is valid or bogus).  </p>
<p>In contrast, testing individuals for COVID infection at work, school etc. is very inefficient.  The tests are often wrong... especially in younger populations. Even if the test does correctly identify a COVID carrier, the virus has likely spread to others by the time you send the individual home. On the other hand, if the flagged individual is a false positive, this will become apparent in a short period of time.  The flagged individual will be mad as hell about the mistake and let everybody know about it. The local news will only be too happy to spread the story.  We don't need more gasoline on the existing social fire.</p>
<p>Yes, direct testing for the virus can be useful in some circumstances...but mostly as early warning at the population level. We are well past the early warning phase of the epidemic. Late warning is at best pointless, at worst it is highly divisive.</p>
<p>Harris - you constantly spout slogans you can't back up.  When you try, you look foolish. Check out your converts to post ratio. Sad.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Elizabeth Miller</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180971</link>
		<dc:creator>Elizabeth Miller</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Oct 2021 12:42:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180971</guid>
		<description>I believe Don&#039;s point was that it is very important to have a reliable and timely testing regime. And, he is right about that.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I believe Don's point was that it is very important to have a reliable and timely testing regime. And, he is right about that.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: TheStig</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180962</link>
		<dc:creator>TheStig</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Oct 2021 15:52:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180962</guid>
		<description>DH-6,12

&quot;Not rocket science. Simple math.&quot;  

There is nothing simple about the math.

see the paper &quot;Error rates in SARS-CoV-2 testing examined with Bayes&#039; theorem&quot;, reference below:

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8080131/

The takeaway from this paper directly refutes your bright idea:

&quot;The analysis suggests that many of the people with mild symptoms and positive test results are unlikely to be infected with SARS-CoV-2 in some regions. It is concluded that current and foreseen alternative tests can not be used to “clear” people as being non-infected.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>DH-6,12</p>
<p>"Not rocket science. Simple math."  </p>
<p>There is nothing simple about the math.</p>
<p>see the paper "Error rates in SARS-CoV-2 testing examined with Bayes' theorem", reference below:</p>
<p><a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8080131/" rel="nofollow">https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8080131/</a></p>
<p>The takeaway from this paper directly refutes your bright idea:</p>
<p>"The analysis suggests that many of the people with mild symptoms and positive test results are unlikely to be infected with SARS-CoV-2 in some regions. It is concluded that current and foreseen alternative tests can not be used to “clear” people as being non-infected."</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Elizabeth Miller</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180961</link>
		<dc:creator>Elizabeth Miller</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Oct 2021 14:56:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180961</guid>
		<description>Heh.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Heh.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: nypoet22</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180960</link>
		<dc:creator>nypoet22</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Oct 2021 14:46:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180960</guid>
		<description>You&#039;ve been eating money all this time? Well no wonder you&#039;re always so grumpy! Try pie instead!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You've been eating money all this time? Well no wonder you're always so grumpy! Try pie instead!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: nypoet22</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180958</link>
		<dc:creator>nypoet22</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Oct 2021 03:33:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180958</guid>
		<description>it&#039;s a fabulous story, but without something yummy to eat the system breaks down.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>it's a fabulous story, but without something yummy to eat the system breaks down.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: BashiBazouk</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180953</link>
		<dc:creator>BashiBazouk</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 23:55:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180953</guid>
		<description>Don,

&lt;i&gt;They ran small donor and big donor campaigns.&lt;/i&gt;

No, they just ran campaigns. 

Most of your Nader reply is rationalizing why Bernie did not run a small donor campaign followed by your standard OD boiler plate. These are two heavy weights in the political game, one an Emeritus Professor of Law who probably knows more about this subject in his pinky finger than your entire existence and you are wrongly telling them how it is. Interesting strategy. Lucky for you, the reading of your comment was probably left to staff... 

Their point seems to be that small donations are not a particularly useful strategy as the Trump republicans are quite good with them as well. 

I would think for the gerrymandering angle you would have to demonstrate that as the the ratio of small donations increases, there is a less chance of wanting to tilt the advantage to their party. A tall order as one of the surprising politicians that are good with small donations is Gaetz who IMO is not known for non self serving thinking. 

And yes, I understand you are obsessed with small donor as the only solution. I think the rest of the world would prefer some proof that it would work before jumping on your bandwagon...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Don,</p>
<p><i>They ran small donor and big donor campaigns.</i></p>
<p>No, they just ran campaigns. </p>
<p>Most of your Nader reply is rationalizing why Bernie did not run a small donor campaign followed by your standard OD boiler plate. These are two heavy weights in the political game, one an Emeritus Professor of Law who probably knows more about this subject in his pinky finger than your entire existence and you are wrongly telling them how it is. Interesting strategy. Lucky for you, the reading of your comment was probably left to staff... </p>
<p>Their point seems to be that small donations are not a particularly useful strategy as the Trump republicans are quite good with them as well. </p>
<p>I would think for the gerrymandering angle you would have to demonstrate that as the the ratio of small donations increases, there is a less chance of wanting to tilt the advantage to their party. A tall order as one of the surprising politicians that are good with small donations is Gaetz who IMO is not known for non self serving thinking. </p>
<p>And yes, I understand you are obsessed with small donor as the only solution. I think the rest of the world would prefer some proof that it would work before jumping on your bandwagon...</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: MtnCaddy</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180951</link>
		<dc:creator>MtnCaddy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 20:31:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180951</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;You keep pretending instead of having the courage and integrity to act like an adult.

Play ball or go away.&lt;/i&gt;
















&lt;b&gt;Before you &#039;cuse me,
Take a look at yourself.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>You keep pretending instead of having the courage and integrity to act like an adult.</p>
<p>Play ball or go away.</i></p>
<p><b>Before you 'cuse me,<br />
Take a look at yourself.</b></p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: BashiBazouk</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180948</link>
		<dc:creator>BashiBazouk</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 17:01:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180948</guid>
		<description>Don,

Back up your accusations! The word salad defense fools no one but yourself. 

You wrote in the Nader comments:

&lt;i&gt;Neither Trump or Bernie ran small donor campaigns. Both got more total money from big donors.&lt;/i&gt;

According to government data, at least for Bernie, that is wrong for both 2016 and 2020. Can you back up your accusation? Do you have proof the government data is in error? Time to put up or shut up, your bluff has been called...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Don,</p>
<p>Back up your accusations! The word salad defense fools no one but yourself. </p>
<p>You wrote in the Nader comments:</p>
<p><i>Neither Trump or Bernie ran small donor campaigns. Both got more total money from big donors.</i></p>
<p>According to government data, at least for Bernie, that is wrong for both 2016 and 2020. Can you back up your accusation? Do you have proof the government data is in error? Time to put up or shut up, your bluff has been called...</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: BashiBazouk</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180947</link>
		<dc:creator>BashiBazouk</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 16:47:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180947</guid>
		<description>Liz,

It&#039;s just an innocent youtube video totally on subject, but painfully so...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Liz,</p>
<p>It's just an innocent youtube video totally on subject, but painfully so...</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Elizabeth Miller</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180943</link>
		<dc:creator>Elizabeth Miller</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 16:18:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180943</guid>
		<description>You expect me to click on that?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You expect me to click on that?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: BashiBazouk</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180941</link>
		<dc:creator>BashiBazouk</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 16:03:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180941</guid>
		<description>Liz,

Are you sure you want to &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lul-Y8vSr0I&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;boldly go where no man was meant to go?&lt;/a&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Liz,</p>
<p>Are you sure you want to <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lul-Y8vSr0I" rel="nofollow">boldly go where no man was meant to go?</a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: MtnCaddy</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180940</link>
		<dc:creator>MtnCaddy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 15:54:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180940</guid>
		<description>[17]









Day-yam. You nailed it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[17]</p>
<p>Day-yam. You nailed it.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: MtnCaddy</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180939</link>
		<dc:creator>MtnCaddy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 15:53:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180939</guid>
		<description>...Space. The final frontier...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>...Space. The final frontier...</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Elizabeth Miller</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180938</link>
		<dc:creator>Elizabeth Miller</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 15:46:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180938</guid>
		<description>Hey, everyone!

I have an idea ...

... for a theme(s) at our Sunday Night Music Festival and Dance Party!

Captain Kirk returns to space as William Shatner boldly goes where few others have.

His Blue Origin space travel mission was a great success as he returned safely back to Mother Earth.

Not bad for a ninety year old, eh?

So, how about we highlight our favourite space songs this Sunday night?

And, Rolling Stone released an updated list of the &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.rollingstone.com/music/music-lists/best-songs-of-all-time-1224767/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt; 500 Best Songs of All Time&lt;/a&gt; last month - so, lets also play our favourites from this list Sunday night!

I know that we Weigantians are quite capable of doing both - can&#039;t wait for Sunday night!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hey, everyone!</p>
<p>I have an idea ...</p>
<p>... for a theme(s) at our Sunday Night Music Festival and Dance Party!</p>
<p>Captain Kirk returns to space as William Shatner boldly goes where few others have.</p>
<p>His Blue Origin space travel mission was a great success as he returned safely back to Mother Earth.</p>
<p>Not bad for a ninety year old, eh?</p>
<p>So, how about we highlight our favourite space songs this Sunday night?</p>
<p>And, Rolling Stone released an updated list of the <a href="https://www.rollingstone.com/music/music-lists/best-songs-of-all-time-1224767/" rel="nofollow"> 500 Best Songs of All Time</a> last month - so, lets also play our favourites from this list Sunday night!</p>
<p>I know that we Weigantians are quite capable of doing both - can't wait for Sunday night!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: BashiBazouk</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180937</link>
		<dc:creator>BashiBazouk</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 15:42:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180937</guid>
		<description>MtnCaddy-

The Monty Python references are somewhat appropriate as Don is the rhetorical equivalent of the Black Knight...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>MtnCaddy-</p>
<p>The Monty Python references are somewhat appropriate as Don is the rhetorical equivalent of the Black Knight...</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: MtnCaddy</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180936</link>
		<dc:creator>MtnCaddy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 15:30:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180936</guid>
		<description>Do you understand English? 

















Do you even &lt;i&gt;read&lt;/i&gt; these comments through before you fail to address what&#039;s in them?










Are you too lazy to actually &lt;i&gt;rebut&lt;/i&gt; anyone else&#039;s arguments? Or simply unwilling to try?














Do you live in a world where calling names works to convince people and demonstrates your superior intellect?
















Tell ya what, you keep on pretending that who you are and what you&#039;re doing is making OD a game changing difference. 
















Signed --


Brave Sir Robin 













Great. Now I have the Monty Python &quot;Sir Brave Robin&quot; tune stuck in my head.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Do you understand English? </p>
<p>Do you even <i>read</i> these comments through before you fail to address what's in them?</p>
<p>Are you too lazy to actually <i>rebut</i> anyone else's arguments? Or simply unwilling to try?</p>
<p>Do you live in a world where calling names works to convince people and demonstrates your superior intellect?</p>
<p>Tell ya what, you keep on pretending that who you are and what you're doing is making OD a game changing difference. </p>
<p>Signed --</p>
<p>Brave Sir Robin </p>
<p>Great. Now I have the Monty Python "Sir Brave Robin" tune stuck in my head.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: MtnCaddy</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180933</link>
		<dc:creator>MtnCaddy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 06:35:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180933</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m not as optimistic as you, Chris. And I wouldn&#039;t be even if the Trumpanzies weren&#039;t so anti-vax, nor if I somehow knew that there weren&#039;t more variants on the way. 




















I think the holidays will prove far worse than you expect because international travelers are more of the mix and its only folks in the developed world that have any kind of vax-or-otherwise-gained herd immunity. It will be worse in Trump country,  and Covid is going to keep rattling around our country and across the world and back  a for the rest of our lives.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I'm not as optimistic as you, Chris. And I wouldn't be even if the Trumpanzies weren't so anti-vax, nor if I somehow knew that there weren't more variants on the way. </p>
<p>I think the holidays will prove far worse than you expect because international travelers are more of the mix and its only folks in the developed world that have any kind of vax-or-otherwise-gained herd immunity. It will be worse in Trump country,  and Covid is going to keep rattling around our country and across the world and back  a for the rest of our lives.</p>
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		<title>By: Mezzomamma</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180932</link>
		<dc:creator>Mezzomamma</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 05:43:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180932</guid>
		<description>For what it&#039;s worth, here in the UK lateral flow tests are widely available for free--our local environmental health agency sent cartons of them to places like churches and community centers, or they can be picked up from most pharmacies and some supermarkets. We&#039;re recommended to test twice a week. The result shows in about 15 minutes, although the recommendation is to report after 30. Mass self-reporting also adds to the national picture. A positive report means getting the slower but more accurate PCR test.

It&#039;s not pleasant, especially if you have a strong gag reflex, but it&#039;s all simple enough. People who really can&#039;t do the back of their throat can swab both nostrils instead, which is also done for younger children. My younger daughter and son-in-law, both professional musicians, sometimes have to test before every rehearsal and concert, although both are vaccinated.

That&#039;s not to say everyone does, and some only will if forced to, but anything that reduces the number of symptom-free carriers or people at the &#039;I think it&#039;s just a cold&#039; stage being around other people is going to help. 

(We discovered, through a volunteer survey, that we both must have had Covid last spring as we both have disease antibodies and vaccine antibodies, although we didn&#039;t have enough symptoms--no fever--to be tested at the time, and wasn&#039;t unlike a really bad cold or flu. We were definitely ill, but nowhere near needing medical care and were only really ill for a few days each.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For what it's worth, here in the UK lateral flow tests are widely available for free--our local environmental health agency sent cartons of them to places like churches and community centers, or they can be picked up from most pharmacies and some supermarkets. We're recommended to test twice a week. The result shows in about 15 minutes, although the recommendation is to report after 30. Mass self-reporting also adds to the national picture. A positive report means getting the slower but more accurate PCR test.</p>
<p>It's not pleasant, especially if you have a strong gag reflex, but it's all simple enough. People who really can't do the back of their throat can swab both nostrils instead, which is also done for younger children. My younger daughter and son-in-law, both professional musicians, sometimes have to test before every rehearsal and concert, although both are vaccinated.</p>
<p>That's not to say everyone does, and some only will if forced to, but anything that reduces the number of symptom-free carriers or people at the 'I think it's just a cold' stage being around other people is going to help. </p>
<p>(We discovered, through a volunteer survey, that we both must have had Covid last spring as we both have disease antibodies and vaccine antibodies, although we didn't have enough symptoms--no fever--to be tested at the time, and wasn't unlike a really bad cold or flu. We were definitely ill, but nowhere near needing medical care and were only really ill for a few days each.)</p>
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		<title>By: nypoet22</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180929</link>
		<dc:creator>nypoet22</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 03:47:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180929</guid>
		<description>hey kick, how ya been?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>hey kick, how ya been?</p>
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		<title>By: Elizabeth Miller</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180928</link>
		<dc:creator>Elizabeth Miller</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 03:45:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180928</guid>
		<description>Kick,

&lt;i&gt;Testing for a virus doesn&#039;t exactly slow its spread.&lt;/i&gt;

Actually, strategic testing for a virus, when done right, has quite a lot to do with slowing its spread.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Kick,</p>
<p><i>Testing for a virus doesn't exactly slow its spread.</i></p>
<p>Actually, strategic testing for a virus, when done right, has quite a lot to do with slowing its spread.</p>
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		<title>By: Kick</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180927</link>
		<dc:creator>Kick</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 03:20:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180927</guid>
		<description>Elizabeth Miller
5

&lt;i&gt;But, will enough people take the test and stay home if they are sick? Doubtful. &lt;/i&gt;

This.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Elizabeth Miller<br />
5</p>
<p><i>But, will enough people take the test and stay home if they are sick? Doubtful. </i></p>
<p>This.</p>
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		<title>By: Kick</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180926</link>
		<dc:creator>Kick</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 03:17:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180926</guid>
		<description>Don Harris
3

&lt;i&gt;These tests can be modified faster than a vaccine and slow the spread while a new vaccine is made. &lt;/i&gt;

Testing for a virus doesn&#039;t exactly slow its spread. 

&lt;i&gt;They take about 15 minutes to get results and would cost about one dollar each. Right now people can be shedding and not know it. &lt;/i&gt;

You don&#039;t say! *laughs* Right now, people being notified they have COVID are walking out of hospitals AMA -- against medical advice -- and carrying on with their lives knowingly shedding the virus.  

&lt;i&gt;With these tests they could know when they are shedding and stay home. &lt;/i&gt;

Not bloody likely.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Don Harris<br />
3</p>
<p><i>These tests can be modified faster than a vaccine and slow the spread while a new vaccine is made. </i></p>
<p>Testing for a virus doesn't exactly slow its spread. </p>
<p><i>They take about 15 minutes to get results and would cost about one dollar each. Right now people can be shedding and not know it. </i></p>
<p>You don't say! *laughs* Right now, people being notified they have COVID are walking out of hospitals AMA -- against medical advice -- and carrying on with their lives knowingly shedding the virus.  </p>
<p><i>With these tests they could know when they are shedding and stay home. </i></p>
<p>Not bloody likely.</p>
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		<title>By: Kick</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180922</link>
		<dc:creator>Kick</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 03:05:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180922</guid>
		<description>Chris

I think your outlook is likely accurate for a large number of areas/states in America, but I can tell you for a fact that they&#039;re expecting and ramping up for the holiday spikes in the South.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Chris</p>
<p>I think your outlook is likely accurate for a large number of areas/states in America, but I can tell you for a fact that they're expecting and ramping up for the holiday spikes in the South.</p>
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		<title>By: Elizabeth Miller</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180919</link>
		<dc:creator>Elizabeth Miller</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 01:54:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180919</guid>
		<description>Indeed.

It is true that vaccines alone won&#039;t get us out of this pandemic, especially when we are so far away from equitable distribution of vaccines globally.

And, I agree we need a much more efficient testing regime. But, will enough people take the test and stay home if they are sick? Doubtful.

And, I do love your sense of urgency around testing.

You know, fighting viruses ain&#039;t rocket science, even during a pandemic. All I can say is that I hope lessons have been learned and that everyone recognizes that there needs to be a massive investment in public health and the public health architecture that is required to test, isolate, quarantine contacts etc etc etc.

And, people just need to wash their damn hands and stop being sick in public, for God&#039;s sake!!! :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Indeed.</p>
<p>It is true that vaccines alone won't get us out of this pandemic, especially when we are so far away from equitable distribution of vaccines globally.</p>
<p>And, I agree we need a much more efficient testing regime. But, will enough people take the test and stay home if they are sick? Doubtful.</p>
<p>And, I do love your sense of urgency around testing.</p>
<p>You know, fighting viruses ain't rocket science, even during a pandemic. All I can say is that I hope lessons have been learned and that everyone recognizes that there needs to be a massive investment in public health and the public health architecture that is required to test, isolate, quarantine contacts etc etc etc.</p>
<p>And, people just need to wash their damn hands and stop being sick in public, for God's sake!!! :)</p>
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		<title>By: andygaus</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180915</link>
		<dc:creator>andygaus</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Oct 2021 01:25:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180915</guid>
		<description>Yes, perhaps by February, the crisis will have passed, and Republican governors will say, &quot;See? There never was any problem. See how right I was to stand for freedom?&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes, perhaps by February, the crisis will have passed, and Republican governors will say, "See? There never was any problem. See how right I was to stand for freedom?"</p>
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		<title>By: Elizabeth Miller</title>
		<link>http://www.chrisweigant.com/2021/10/12/cautious-pandemic-optimism/#comment-180909</link>
		<dc:creator>Elizabeth Miller</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Oct 2021 23:34:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=21094#comment-180909</guid>
		<description>Chris,

&lt;i&gt; The more people there are who are vaccinated, the harder it will be for any variant to wreak havoc.&lt;/i&gt;

Any variant? Aren&#039;t you forgetting about the variants yet to emerge that could be resistent to current vaccines?

What if we (and by &#039;we&#039; I mean citizens of the world, heh) have to go through a whole other round of vaccinations to protect us from the new vaccine-resistant variant(s)?

That&#039;s not at all far-fetched - on the contrary! What surprises me most about this pandemic and how the world has dealt with it, or not, is that more variants haven&#039;t taken hold that are far more infectious/vaccine-resistant than the ones we have seen so far. 

Viruses mutate. That&#039;s what they do. It&#039;s their own singular raison d&#039;etre, in other words. And, considering the small percentage of the world&#039;s population that is currently fully vaxed, I&#039;m afraid that we are ALL living on borrowed time unless we change the way we are dealing with this pandemic.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Chris,</p>
<p><i> The more people there are who are vaccinated, the harder it will be for any variant to wreak havoc.</i></p>
<p>Any variant? Aren't you forgetting about the variants yet to emerge that could be resistent to current vaccines?</p>
<p>What if we (and by 'we' I mean citizens of the world, heh) have to go through a whole other round of vaccinations to protect us from the new vaccine-resistant variant(s)?</p>
<p>That's not at all far-fetched - on the contrary! What surprises me most about this pandemic and how the world has dealt with it, or not, is that more variants haven't taken hold that are far more infectious/vaccine-resistant than the ones we have seen so far. </p>
<p>Viruses mutate. That's what they do. It's their own singular raison d'etre, in other words. And, considering the small percentage of the world's population that is currently fully vaxed, I'm afraid that we are ALL living on borrowed time unless we change the way we are dealing with this pandemic.</p>
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