No Trump name on new buildings? Would old ones be far behind?

So it begins? Market based Karma?

Scion? Sounds like another Trump lawsuit since Scion is already a brand, right? They make a car that looks exactly like the car we all drew when we were toddlers... a box with windows and 4 wheels. :)

Deoxyribonucleic acid makes me white, my daddy's money makes me college educated, but Chardonnay just makes me unwind. ;)

No Trump name on new buildings? Would old ones be far behind?

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/trump-scion-hotel_us_580f6e1fe4b000d0b1589d66

So it begins? Market based Karma?

Chardonnay... Too early, maybe later

does that make you a white, college-educated female? if i'm right, i might win a contest.

:)

JL

"I think the country and the bookies are lucky Trump didn't keep his mouth shut and just refuse to debate.

That was his path to victory."

Ah, that's the beauty of it. Trump was sure he was going to win the debates handily. Trump thought he was, and God forgive me for the phrasing, a "master debater." He did well in early primary debates, where it's easy to anticipate somebody throwing you a soft ball question and knocking it of the park. Bigly! He soared at worshiping rallies. What could possibly go wrong?

Presidential debates are a whole different animal. You have to stay focused for more than 15 minutes. Newt Gingrich had the same problem as Trump: a few great one liners, but as the debate field got smaller, his performance got less effective.

Of course, it didn't help that Donald bragged to a hot mic that he was a sexual predator, and the tape got lose at an oh-so-unfortunate moment in his Presidential Career. From self confessed sexual predator to stuck chauvinist pig in 48 hrs. I wouldn't want to writing the Trump Family Christmas Letter this year.

That was the one thing Cruz got right - Trump was a ratings bonanza, but he was out of his depth playing with the media - it was going to happen anyway, but the Birther Announcement/Hotel Infomercial episode triggered the inevitable night of the long knives.

"Trump effectively collapsed after the 3rd debate. It's not just the polls and the bookies, it's the news cycle. It's no longer, Trump says the something outrageous, isn't that refreshing and amusing - to, Trump says something jaw droppingly weird, this guy is not fit to hold office. The press made Donald, the press is now all too happy to bring him down."

I think the country and the bookies are lucky Trump didn't keep his mouth shut and just refuse to debate.

That was his path to victory.

A

My response to your nice comment in the previous column is up.

A

NV got darker blue (Barely to Weak Clinton), while MN got lighter blue (Strong to Weak Clinton).

That's enough for me to say Clinton's going to win, I think. She's now got 278 or 279 EV (depending on what you believe about that ME northwoods vote) wrapped up. That's a comfortable-enough margin, I think, at least if it holds for the next few days.

-CW

I refer you to Electoral-Vote.com's page, which explains it fully:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2016/Pres/Maps/Oct26.html

But you have to check it out today... tomorrow it will actually have data!

:-)

When I created the S+W graphs, I debated just ending the 2016 line without the dropdown to zero, but I left it in because it serves two purposes: (1) lets you easily see which line is 2016, and (2) also makes it easy to see exactly where in the race we are currently.

But I did wonder if I'd get amusing comments about it...

heh.

-CW

The man's wealth is obviously volatile, so he could swing into bankruptcy again if too much of his wealth is just his brand on other people's property - changing the name and sign on a building isn't that expensive a change.

This election could well be a Trump family point of contention for decades to come - "how daddy ruined us and now we have to live like common people".

I would be very interested in seeing his debt structure and exactly who he owes money too. Donny Jr. gave the game away a few years ago talking about Russian money. My guess is that these people are not the sort of people you want to discuss defaulting on your loans with.

Odds are still being offered. Betfair is offering Trump at 6.2 = 17% probability, PredictIt is offering the same odds. LadBrokes goes a bit more for Trump at English 4/1 = 20% If I had an expansive betting portfolio I would actually take those bets, since I think Trump's prob. is closer to 10%, along the lines of NYT Upshot's six numerical prognosticators.

I basically agree with the CW map colors, but would still paint Ohio light Blue, and Georgia light pink, seem to be 60:40 which is pretty far from 50:50.

On the major point, Clinton has a near lock on 272 electoral votes, CW and I are in complete agreement. Even if Trump poaches votes in the remaining genuinely contested states (OH, IA, GA, AZ) he is nowhere close to crossing 270....and Clinton has a fairly good shot at besting Trump in any or even all of them. Clinton has a very solid buffer of 3 states FL,NV,NC which are only marginally less solid than the 272 EV in the Blue Wall.

To put it bluntly, Trump has to have an astonishingly good election night to win or tie. It possible, but a 10%-ish possible. Most of uncertainty involves the likely Clinton margin of victory (EV and Pop. V and down ticket).

I am willing to put my prognosticating hide on the line and call it for Clinton. Trump effectively collapsed after the 3rd debate. It's not just the polls and the bookies, it's the news cycle. It's no longer, Trump says the something outrageous, isn't that refreshing and amusing - to, Trump says something jaw droppingly weird, this guy is not fit to hold office. The press made Donald, the press is now all too happy to bring him down. That's the collapse that makes recovery very unlikely.

It is my sincere hope that Trump is humiliated by the election outcome, his brand is poisoned, and his name comes off the ol' Trump Towers. He can live on in a little Palinesque live feed/twitter shyster bubble.

On that note, I'm off to vote. I think I should go through a prep like TS did... so Texas accepts different forms of ID, and I will go extra prepared and will not be denied {such a nasty woman}.

TX driver's license... Check
TX election ID... Check
TX concealed carry permit... Check
US military ID... Check
US passport... Check
Chardonnay... Too early, maybe later
Pumpkin spice coffee... Check

Here's hoping that Chas Brown has to eat a big bug! :)

Although I'd gladly eat a bug to see Texas go blue...