Comments on: Confront Them With Their Own Words http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/ Reality-based political commentary Sat, 16 May 2026 07:55:26 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.1 hourly 1 By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84914 Michale Thu, 22 Sep 2016 09:03:02 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84914 <I>I'm guessing she thinks they are safe bets. ;)</I> Famous last words.. :D Michale I'm guessing she thinks they are safe bets. ;)

Famous last words.. :D

Michale

]]> By: Kick http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84910 Kick Thu, 22 Sep 2016 05:16:52 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84910 [45] neilm, <i>Does anybody know if Hillary has restarted her ad campaigns in Colorado and/or Virginia again, or does she feel (unlike RCP) that they are still safe bets for her? </i> As of today, HRC has not restarted ads in Virginia or Colorado. Trump ran ads for only 2 weeks in both those states and now has none in either. Clinton has ads in: Nevada Florida North Carolina Pennsylvania New Hampshire Ohio Iowa Nebraska/2CD Arizona Trump has ads in only 4 states: Florida Ohio North Carolina Pennsylvania There is a chart at this link that nicely illustrates the weekly ad buys since June. http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/graphics/2016-presidential-campaign-tv-ads/ [45] neilm,

Does anybody know if Hillary has restarted her ad campaigns in Colorado and/or Virginia again, or does she feel (unlike RCP) that they are still safe bets for her?

As of today, HRC has not restarted ads in Virginia or Colorado. Trump ran ads for only 2 weeks in both those states and now has none in either.

Clinton has ads in:
Nevada
Florida
North Carolina
Pennsylvania
New Hampshire
Ohio
Iowa
Nebraska/2CD
Arizona

Trump has ads in only 4 states:
Florida
Ohio
North Carolina
Pennsylvania

There is a chart at this link that nicely illustrates the weekly ad buys since June.

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/graphics/2016-presidential-campaign-tv-ads/

]]> By: Elizabeth Miller http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84909 Elizabeth Miller Thu, 22 Sep 2016 05:01:15 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84909 I'm guessing she thinks they are safe bets. ;) I'm guessing she thinks they are safe bets. ;)

]]> By: neilm http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84895 neilm Wed, 21 Sep 2016 23:36:15 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84895 Does anybody know if Hillary has restarted her ad campaigns in Colorado and/or Virginia again, or does she feel (unlike RCP) that they are still safe bets for her? Does anybody know if Hillary has restarted her ad campaigns in Colorado and/or Virginia again, or does she feel (unlike RCP) that they are still safe bets for her?

]]> By: neilm http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84894 neilm Wed, 21 Sep 2016 23:34:59 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84894 TS [42] - Agreed. This election will be a real test of e.g. the 538 model - with conventional candidates the expected turnout could be modeled with some accuracy, and thus the "LV" polls could be counted on. The higher passion for Trump could unsettle the models and he could be doing better than the models are predicting. On the other hand, Trump's lack of GOTV and ground game might hurt him chances and so the models could be overestimating his numbers. TS [42] - Agreed. This election will be a real test of e.g. the 538 model - with conventional candidates the expected turnout could be modeled with some accuracy, and thus the "LV" polls could be counted on.

The higher passion for Trump could unsettle the models and he could be doing better than the models are predicting. On the other hand, Trump's lack of GOTV and ground game might hurt him chances and so the models could be overestimating his numbers.

]]> By: TheStig http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84893 TheStig Wed, 21 Sep 2016 20:26:24 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84893 Neilm - 36 That's a nicely executed little simulation illustrating margin of error in a large population that be re-sampled. However, when all is said and done, margin of error is just a measure of random sampling error, a pollster really wants a prediction interval stating the probability candidate A is ahead of candidate B (or B,C,D etc if there are multiple parties). Prediction intervals are not the same as margin of error. Margin of error and prediction intervals are minor problems. The big problem is trying to figure out how well any given polling sample represents the population that actually shows up to vote. Neilm - 36

That's a nicely executed little simulation illustrating margin of error in a large population that be re-sampled. However, when all is said and done, margin of error is just a measure of random sampling error, a pollster really wants a prediction interval stating the probability candidate A is ahead of candidate B (or B,C,D etc if there are multiple parties). Prediction intervals are not the same as margin of error.

Margin of error and prediction intervals are minor problems. The big problem is trying to figure out how well any given polling sample represents the population that actually shows up to vote.

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84892 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 17:22:35 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84892 <I>And if the context was the same then as it is now, then you would have a point.. But it's not, so you don't...</I> However, if you WANT to claim the context is the same, I'll be happy to oblige ya.. Yes, Trump dumped a couple of debates.. And STILL won the election... :D Michale And if the context was the same then as it is now, then you would have a point..

But it's not, so you don't...

However, if you WANT to claim the context is the same, I'll be happy to oblige ya..

Yes, Trump dumped a couple of debates..

And STILL won the election... :D

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84891 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 17:03:29 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84891 I had another "montage" I wanted to share, but that's better kept in private... :D Michale I had another "montage" I wanted to share, but that's better kept in private... :D

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84890 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 17:02:13 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84890 <I>Considering that he's done that before, I'd also say the odds are high.</I> And if the context was the same then as it is now, then you would have a point.. But it's not, so you don't... <I> For instance, although Megyn Kelly managed to ultimately win her showdown with Trump, wouldn't the whole thing have gone differently if she had confronted him with a video montage of him saying all of those things that she quoted? </I> Yea.. A "montage" is really fair, iddn't it.. <B>Clinton Coughing Montage</B> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pn45Qt8yCR8 Using your "logic" Clinton is near death... Michale Considering that he's done that before, I'd also say the odds are high.

And if the context was the same then as it is now, then you would have a point..

But it's not, so you don't...

For instance, although Megyn Kelly managed to ultimately win her showdown with Trump, wouldn't the whole thing have gone differently if she had confronted him with a video montage of him saying all of those things that she quoted?

Yea.. A "montage" is really fair, iddn't it..

Clinton Coughing Montage
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pn45Qt8yCR8

Using your "logic" Clinton is near death...

Michale

]]> By: altohone http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84889 altohone Wed, 21 Sep 2016 16:49:13 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84889 Hey CW "There will always be roughly 40 percent support for any given Republican or Democratic presidential candidate. It's the 20 percent in the middle who decide elections, however" Quite a lot of polling suggests the winner may only get a plurality of around 40%... and that it's not the 20% in the middle but rather on the fringes that will decide it this year. After admitting this year's election is unusual, you should be willing to admit that reality too. I realize establishment thinking is hard to overcome, and even talking about the third parties is frowned upon among your peers, but I believe you can still rise to the occasion. Hey CW

"There will always be roughly 40 percent support for any given Republican or Democratic presidential candidate. It's the 20 percent in the middle who decide elections, however"

Quite a lot of polling suggests the winner may only get a plurality of around 40%... and that it's not the 20% in the middle but rather on the fringes that will decide it this year.
After admitting this year's election is unusual, you should be willing to admit that reality too.

I realize establishment thinking is hard to overcome, and even talking about the third parties is frowned upon among your peers, but I believe you can still rise to the occasion.

]]> By: Balthasar http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84888 Balthasar Wed, 21 Sep 2016 16:42:22 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84888 CW wrote: <i>I even have my doubts that there will be a second or third debate, because I think the likelihood of Donald Trump pronouncing "they're not being fair to me" and refusing to participate in future debates is actually pretty high.</i> Considering that he's done that before, I'd also say the odds are high. I've been wondering for awhile why the networks aren't using video to augment the questioning in debates on a more regular basis. For instance, although Megyn Kelly managed to ultimately win her showdown with Trump, wouldn't the whole thing have gone differently if she had confronted him with a video montage of him saying all of those things that she quoted? It would have made it much tougher for him to turn it into a attack on Kelly. CW wrote:

I even have my doubts that there will be a second or third debate, because I think the likelihood of Donald Trump pronouncing "they're not being fair to me" and refusing to participate in future debates is actually pretty high.

Considering that he's done that before, I'd also say the odds are high.

I've been wondering for awhile why the networks aren't using video to augment the questioning in debates on a more regular basis. For instance, although Megyn Kelly managed to ultimately win her showdown with Trump, wouldn't the whole thing have gone differently if she had confronted him with a video montage of him saying all of those things that she quoted? It would have made it much tougher for him to turn it into a attack on Kelly.

]]> By: neilm http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84886 neilm Wed, 21 Sep 2016 16:17:29 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84886 Try this poll simulator - best way to see the effects of chance in polls: http://rocknpoll.graphics/ Try this poll simulator - best way to see the effects of chance in polls:

http://rocknpoll.graphics/

]]> By: TheStig http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84885 TheStig Wed, 21 Sep 2016 15:55:31 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84885 Neilm -2 "I personally am hoping the network relies heavily upon videos of past statements from both of them." -CW I suspect this is a "serving suggestion" from CW, and a good one at that. Over at the Debate Commission web site: "The CPD is in discussion with technology and civic groups that will provide data to the moderators to assist them in identifying the subjects that are most important to the public." http://www.debates.org/index.php?page=2016debates Seems to leave the door open to real time assistance to the moderator, including video clip augmented fact checking. That said, I can't find any evidence it's going to actually happen. Neilm -2

"I personally am hoping the network relies heavily upon videos of past statements from both of them." -CW

I suspect this is a "serving suggestion" from CW, and a good one at that.

Over at the Debate Commission web site:

"The CPD is in discussion with technology and civic groups that will provide data to the moderators to assist them in identifying the subjects that are most important to the public."

http://www.debates.org/index.php?page=2016debates

Seems to leave the door open to real time assistance to the moderator, including video clip augmented fact checking. That said, I can't find any evidence it's going to actually happen.

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84883 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 14:20:31 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84883 <B>On a street in Ohio, defiant Democrats flock to Trump The story of these defections goes back to March when over 6,171 registered Democrats voted in the GOP primary that was a showdown between Trump and Ohio Gov. John Kasich?. Even the Democratic mayor of Struthers was caught with a Trump For President sign in his front yard. But the Democrats here have not come back home. Instead, many of them are still looking to Trump. “I’ve been a lifelong union guy, a working guy,” said Jeff Kulow, a 25-year member of the Teamsters who recently retired. “Can you imagine people like me going to Trump or going Republican?” Kulow said President Obama, a politician “against everything I believe in,” has been the tipping point. He blamed a $650 increase in his health care premiums directly on the Affordable Care Act?. “They just don’t get it anymore with us,” Kulow said of the Democratic Party. “Maybe in an upscale area or downscale, maybe they’ll resonate. But around here — all working class and middle class, everyone has left the Democratic party. I can’t see myself ever going back.”</B> http://www.cbsnews.com/news/on-a-street-in-ohio-defiant-democrats-flock-to-trump/ Looks like Paula has her work cut out for her.. :D Michale On a street in Ohio, defiant Democrats flock to Trump

The story of these defections goes back to March when over 6,171 registered Democrats voted in the GOP primary that was a showdown between Trump and Ohio Gov. John Kasich?. Even the Democratic mayor of Struthers was caught with a Trump For President sign in his front yard.

But the Democrats here have not come back home. Instead, many of them are still looking to Trump.

“I’ve been a lifelong union guy, a working guy,” said Jeff Kulow, a 25-year member of the Teamsters who recently retired. “Can you imagine people like me going to Trump or going Republican?”

Kulow said President Obama, a politician “against everything I believe in,” has been the tipping point. He blamed a $650 increase in his health care premiums directly on the Affordable Care Act?.

“They just don’t get it anymore with us,” Kulow said of the Democratic Party. “Maybe in an upscale area or downscale, maybe they’ll resonate. But around here — all working class and middle class, everyone has left the Democratic party. I can’t see myself ever going back.”
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/on-a-street-in-ohio-defiant-democrats-flock-to-trump/

Looks like Paula has her work cut out for her.. :D

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84882 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 14:02:40 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84882 It's not rocket science, my friends.. I don't care if you are black, white, red, pink, yellow or green with purple polka-dots.. If you don't obey the lawful orders of police and you have a gun in your hand... <B>YOU WILL BE SHOT</B> It's that simple.. Michale It's not rocket science, my friends..

I don't care if you are black, white, red, pink, yellow or green with purple polka-dots..

If you don't obey the lawful orders of police and you have a gun in your hand...

YOU WILL BE SHOT

It's that simple..

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84881 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 13:46:01 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84881 If Hillary Clinton doesn't denounce these thugs, these "super predators" then she simply cannot win the election.... On the other hand, if she DOES denounce these thugs, these "super predators", then she will likely lose the election.. Ya gotta admire Hillary for engineering the PERFECT lose-lose situation.... Michale If Hillary Clinton doesn't denounce these thugs, these "super predators" then she simply cannot win the election....

On the other hand, if she DOES denounce these thugs, these "super predators", then she will likely lose the election..

Ya gotta admire Hillary for engineering the PERFECT lose-lose situation....

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84880 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 12:28:34 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84880 <B>Charlotte faces aftermath of protests ignited by fatal police shooting; 12 officers injured</B> http://www.charlotteobserver.com/news/local/crime/article103009432.html Another justified shooting that is ONLY an issue because of political considerations.. And these "fine upstanding" protesters use the shooting of this black man as an excuse to loot a Walmart and steal LED TVs and IPADS... Advantage: TRUMP Michale Charlotte faces aftermath of protests ignited by fatal police shooting; 12 officers injured
http://www.charlotteobserver.com/news/local/crime/article103009432.html

Another justified shooting that is ONLY an issue because of political considerations..

And these "fine upstanding" protesters use the shooting of this black man as an excuse to loot a Walmart and steal LED TVs and IPADS...

Advantage: TRUMP

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84879 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 12:08:09 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84879 <B>‘We Out Like The Taliban!’ Charlotte Citizens Riot After Police Shooting [VIDEO]</B> http://dailycaller.com/2016/09/20/were-like-the-taliban-charlotte-citizens-riot-after-police-shooting-video/ The Democrat Party's pit bulls, (O)BLM have admitted that they are "just like the Taliban"... Shocking..... :^/ Advantage: TRUMP.... Who could have predicted this....???? Oh... Wait.... Michale ‘We Out Like The Taliban!’ Charlotte Citizens Riot After Police Shooting [VIDEO]
http://dailycaller.com/2016/09/20/were-like-the-taliban-charlotte-citizens-riot-after-police-shooting-video/

The Democrat Party's pit bulls, (O)BLM have admitted that they are "just like the Taliban"...

Shocking..... :^/

Advantage: TRUMP....

Who could have predicted this....????

Oh... Wait....

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84878 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 11:46:43 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84878 I realize that reading all this bad news about Hillary may be annoying for ya'all.. You could always counter with some GOOD news about Hillary... Oh... wait..... :D Michale I realize that reading all this bad news about Hillary may be annoying for ya'all..

You could always counter with some GOOD news about Hillary...

Oh... wait..... :D

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84877 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 11:42:26 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84877 <B>Only 32% of likely voters believe that Mrs. Clinton is honest, compared with a larger but still dismal 40% for Mr. Trump. Fifty percent think he is “honest enough” to be president, while only 43% think she is. Just 37% say she is more transparent than Mr. Trump; 54% say the opposite. Asked to explain why they do not regard Mrs. Clinton as honest enough to be president, roughly equal shares of the naysayers cite her private email server, the Benghazi attack, and their impression of her as evasive and calculating. (Only 39% believe that she bases her policies on a set of core values.) And 34% of the electorate, including 38% of independents, say that her use of a private email server changed their opinion of her honesty.</B> http://www.wsj.com/articles/its-still-clintons-race-to-lose-1474413142 So much for the claim that Hillary's email server scandal didn't have any effect on her support... Michale Only 32% of likely voters believe that Mrs. Clinton is honest, compared with a larger but still dismal 40% for Mr. Trump. Fifty percent think he is “honest enough” to be president, while only 43% think she is. Just 37% say she is more transparent than Mr. Trump; 54% say the opposite.

Asked to explain why they do not regard Mrs. Clinton as honest enough to be president, roughly equal shares of the naysayers cite her private email server, the Benghazi attack, and their impression of her as evasive and calculating. (Only 39% believe that she bases her policies on a set of core values.) And 34% of the electorate, including 38% of independents, say that her use of a private email server changed their opinion of her honesty.
http://www.wsj.com/articles/its-still-clintons-race-to-lose-1474413142

So much for the claim that Hillary's email server scandal didn't have any effect on her support...

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84876 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 11:37:18 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84876 <B>HILLARY CLINTON COULD LOSE THE ELECTION BECAUSE MILLENNIALS DON’T LIKE HER Polls show how young Gary Johnson and Jill Stein supporters could hand Donald Trump the White House.</B> http://www.vanityfair.com/news/2016/09/hillary-clinton-millennial-voters The writing is on the wall, my fellow Weigantians... You can't ignore it, just because you don't like what it says.... Michale HILLARY CLINTON COULD LOSE THE ELECTION BECAUSE MILLENNIALS DON’T LIKE HER
Polls show how young Gary Johnson and Jill Stein supporters could hand Donald Trump the White House.
http://www.vanityfair.com/news/2016/09/hillary-clinton-millennial-voters

The writing is on the wall, my fellow Weigantians...

You can't ignore it, just because you don't like what it says....

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84874 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 11:08:55 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84874 AND you were completely and utterly wrong when you said '8' comments.. Don't you EVER get tired of being wrong all the time??? :D Michale AND you were completely and utterly wrong when you said '8' comments..

Don't you EVER get tired of being wrong all the time??? :D

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84873 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 11:05:38 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84873 Why don't you just admit what everyone already knows.. You follow my comments breathlessly... :D Michale Why don't you just admit what everyone already knows..

You follow my comments breathlessly... :D

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84872 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 11:05:03 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84872 Ya know, Neil?? For someone who claims that he "doesn't even see" my posts.... You sure keep good tabs on them... :D You got caught in another lie.... :D Michale Ya know, Neil??

For someone who claims that he "doesn't even see" my posts....

You sure keep good tabs on them... :D

You got caught in another lie.... :D

Michale

]]> By: neilm http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84871 neilm Wed, 21 Sep 2016 10:58:36 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84871 18. 18.

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84870 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 10:47:57 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84870 <B>“Obama didn’t earn a legacy with the black community, even though we put you there. You fought for the rights of gay people; you fought for the rights of this people and that people. You fight for Israel. Your people are suffering and dying in the streets.”</B> -Louis Farrakahan As much of a racist moron as Farrakahan is, he does have a point in this latest rant of his.. Obama and the Democrats haven't done squat for black Americans.. The ONLY reason for black Americans to vote for Hillary is to get more of the same.. Michale “Obama didn’t earn a legacy with the black community, even though we put you there.

You fought for the rights of gay people; you fought for the rights of this people and that people. You fight for Israel. Your people are suffering and dying in the streets.”
-Louis Farrakahan

As much of a racist moron as Farrakahan is, he does have a point in this latest rant of his..

Obama and the Democrats haven't done squat for black Americans..

The ONLY reason for black Americans to vote for Hillary is to get more of the same..

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84869 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 10:38:10 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84869 Between mid-June and today, Hillary Clinton has spent over $140 million in ads, 98% of which are negative ads against Trump... Contrast that to Trump who has spent less than $40 million.. And yet, the race is essentially tied.... Hillary's biggest mistake is that she is running a conventional campaign against an unconventional candidate... Which perfectly illustrates Hillary's problem as our would-be POTUS... She simply CANNOT handle the unexpected... For Hillary, everything is scripted and everything MUST adhere to the script... When the unexpected happens, she falls.. She is lost.. She simply CANNOT function... 16 GOP candidates ran a conventional campaign.. They ALL lost... So it will be with Hillary Clinton... If there is a flaw in my logic, by all means... Point it out... Michale Between mid-June and today, Hillary Clinton has spent over $140 million in ads, 98% of which are negative ads against Trump...

Contrast that to Trump who has spent less than $40 million..

And yet, the race is essentially tied....

Hillary's biggest mistake is that she is running a conventional campaign against an unconventional candidate...

Which perfectly illustrates Hillary's problem as our would-be POTUS...

She simply CANNOT handle the unexpected...

For Hillary, everything is scripted and everything MUST adhere to the script...

When the unexpected happens, she falls.. She is lost.. She simply CANNOT function...

16 GOP candidates ran a conventional campaign..

They ALL lost...

So it will be with Hillary Clinton...

If there is a flaw in my logic, by all means... Point it out...

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84868 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 10:29:16 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84868 <I>In some ways, this innate caution is an asset, because America really does want presidents to exercise caution in both speech and deed. But at the same time, such caution can appear too weaselly during a debate. </I> Agreed While it's true that Americans can, at times, appreciate caution, Americans HATE caution that is nothing but exercises in CYA..... If you cannot make a firm stand on what you believe, it's better to just keep quiet.. That is one of Trump's biggest strengths.. There is no mealy-mouth platitudes or discussions of what the definition of 'is' is.. With Trump, you know EXACTLY where he stands.. Granted, it might be a DIFFERENT stand than last week or last month... But it's still a firm stand... But, unlike Clinton, there is no "weasely" lawyering with Trump... Americans appreciate that... As evidenced by the fact that Trump is pulling ahead of Clinton.. Michale In some ways, this innate caution is an asset, because America really does want presidents to exercise caution in both speech and deed. But at the same time, such caution can appear too weaselly during a debate.

Agreed

While it's true that Americans can, at times, appreciate caution, Americans HATE caution that is nothing but exercises in CYA.....

If you cannot make a firm stand on what you believe, it's better to just keep quiet..

That is one of Trump's biggest strengths.. There is no mealy-mouth platitudes or discussions of what the definition of 'is' is.. With Trump, you know EXACTLY where he stands..

Granted, it might be a DIFFERENT stand than last week or last month... But it's still a firm stand...

But, unlike Clinton, there is no "weasely" lawyering with Trump...

Americans appreciate that...

As evidenced by the fact that Trump is pulling ahead of Clinton..

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84867 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 10:23:37 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84867 CW, <I>NNL Filter Report.. The NNL Filters don't like a conservativereview when it precedes a dot com.. Just FYI</I> I am beginning ta think yer NNL filters have a liberal bias.. :D heh Michale CW,

NNL Filter Report..

The NNL Filters don't like a conservativereview when it precedes a dot com..

Just FYI

I am beginning ta think yer NNL filters have a liberal bias.. :D heh

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84866 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 10:11:52 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84866 <B>“He’s a racist and she is a liar, so really what’s the difference in choosing both or neither.”</B> http://tinyurl.com/z55dooz The difference is Trump has never said anything that was racist or never gave ANY indication that he was racist.. Democrats, on the other hand, created the KKK and fought tooth and nail against Civil Rights legislation... We also know for a fact how much Hillary has lied... The choice for President amongst black Americans should be a no brainer... If black Americans want to live off welfare for the rest of their lives, they should vote Clinton.. On the other hand, if black Americans want the tools to stand on their own two feet and MAKE something of their lives for themselves and their children... Trump is the only logical choice.... Michale “He’s a racist and she is a liar, so really what’s the difference in choosing both or neither.”
http://tinyurl.com/z55dooz

The difference is Trump has never said anything that was racist or never gave ANY indication that he was racist..

Democrats, on the other hand, created the KKK and fought tooth and nail against Civil Rights legislation...

We also know for a fact how much Hillary has lied...

The choice for President amongst black Americans should be a no brainer...

If black Americans want to live off welfare for the rest of their lives, they should vote Clinton..

On the other hand, if black Americans want the tools to stand on their own two feet and MAKE something of their lives for themselves and their children...

Trump is the only logical choice....

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84865 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 10:02:55 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84865 CW, NNL Filter Report.. The NNL Filters don't like a conservativereview when it precedes a dot com.. Just FYI Michale CW,

NNL Filter Report..

The NNL Filters don't like a conservativereview when it precedes a dot com..

Just FYI

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84862 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 10:00:25 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84862 Test conservativereview Michale Test

conservativereview

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84861 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 10:00:05 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84861 <B>Democrats panic as black voters ditch Clinton In a surprising development, black voters are abandoning Hillary Clinton and Democrats are scrambling to stop the hemorrhaging of their crucial voting bloc. A recent Los Angeles Times tracking poll reported Clinton’s support among black voters fell almost 20 percent to about 71 percent. A poll in Michigan showed similar results. The Free Press/WXYZ-TV poll found black support for Clinton in Michigan fell from 85 percent in August to 74 percent. President Obama received 93 percent of the black vote, according to exit polls during the 2012 presidential election. </B> http://tinyurl.com/z55dooz Like I said.. The Left Wingery REALLY needs to start mentally prepare themselves to say "President Trump".. Or start planning their move to a country that is more in keeping with their views.. Like Iran.... Or North Korea.... Or Libya.... :D Michale Democrats panic as black voters ditch Clinton

In a surprising development, black voters are abandoning Hillary Clinton and Democrats are scrambling to stop the hemorrhaging of their crucial voting bloc.

A recent Los Angeles Times tracking poll reported Clinton’s support among black voters fell almost 20 percent to about 71 percent.

A poll in Michigan showed similar results. The Free Press/WXYZ-TV poll found black support for Clinton in Michigan fell from 85 percent in August to 74 percent.

President Obama received 93 percent of the black vote, according to exit polls during the 2012 presidential election.
http://tinyurl.com/z55dooz

Like I said.. The Left Wingery REALLY needs to start mentally prepare themselves to say "President Trump"..

Or start planning their move to a country that is more in keeping with their views..

Like Iran.... Or North Korea.... Or Libya.... :D

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84860 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 09:59:04 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84860 <B>Democrats panic as black voters ditch Clinton In a surprising development, black voters are abandoning Hillary Clinton and Democrats are scrambling to stop the hemorrhaging of their crucial voting bloc. A recent Los Angeles Times tracking poll reported Clinton’s support among black voters fell almost 20 percent to about 71 percent. A poll in Michigan showed similar results. The Free Press/WXYZ-TV poll found black support for Clinton in Michigan fell from 85 percent in August to 74 percent. President Obama received 93 percent of the black vote, according to exit polls during the 2012 presidential election. </B> https://www.conservativereview.com/commentary/2016/09/democrats-panic-as-black-voters-ditch-clinton#sthash.IcB2uSkl.dpuf Like I said.. The Left Wingery REALLY needs to start mentally prepare themselves to say "President Trump".. Or start planning their move to a country that is more in keeping with their views.. Like Iran.... Or North Korea.... Or Libya.... :D Michale Democrats panic as black voters ditch Clinton

In a surprising development, black voters are abandoning Hillary Clinton and Democrats are scrambling to stop the hemorrhaging of their crucial voting bloc.

A recent Los Angeles Times tracking poll reported Clinton’s support among black voters fell almost 20 percent to about 71 percent.

A poll in Michigan showed similar results. The Free Press/WXYZ-TV poll found black support for Clinton in Michigan fell from 85 percent in August to 74 percent.

President Obama received 93 percent of the black vote, according to exit polls during the 2012 presidential election.
https://www.conservativereview.com/commentary/2016/09/democrats-panic-as-black-voters-ditch-clinton#sthash.IcB2uSkl.dpuf

Like I said.. The Left Wingery REALLY needs to start mentally prepare themselves to say "President Trump"..

Or start planning their move to a country that is more in keeping with their views..

Like Iran.... Or North Korea.... Or Libya.... :D

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84859 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 09:50:43 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84859 <B>How panicked should Democrats be about Donald Trump’s poll surge? We asked 8 experts. It is now no longer the case that we need a major new catalytic event to think Donald Trump can win. Hillary Clinton hasn’t just lost the massive 8-point cushion she had in late August — she’s now clinging to a narrow 1.5-point lead in the polling averages that are widely viewed as the best gauges of the race. Last week, I wrote that Trump had cut into Clinton’s lead but that something dramatic would still have to change for him to really be in contention in the presidential race.</B> http://www.vox.com/2016/9/16/12929616/donald-trump-polls-win Michale How panicked should Democrats be about Donald Trump’s poll surge? We asked 8 experts.

It is now no longer the case that we need a major new catalytic event to think Donald Trump can win. Hillary Clinton hasn’t just lost the massive 8-point cushion she had in late August — she’s now clinging to a narrow 1.5-point lead in the polling averages that are widely viewed as the best gauges of the race.

Last week, I wrote that Trump had cut into Clinton’s lead but that something dramatic would still have to change for him to really be in contention in the presidential race.
http://www.vox.com/2016/9/16/12929616/donald-trump-polls-win

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84858 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 09:44:50 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84858 <B>Tobe Berkovitz, a Boston University professor who specializes in political communications, said that on a 1 to 10 scale, with 10 being the most damaging, the video footage rated “a 15.” Berkovitz added: “No matter what you say and no matter how you say it, everyone sees the presidential nominee basically collapsing, almost on the street. When you are saying, ‘I want to be commander in chief and I have the toughness and the strength to lead America during trying times,’ well, you don’t want to see that person being carried into a van.”</B> These are the FACTS that no amount of partisan spin or Party loyalty can hide or obfuscate... Americans don't want a candidate that will collapse while on the job.. Americans don't want a candidate that doesn't have to stamina to make it thru the day without a nap time... If ya'all could step outside your Party loyalty, you would see that I am right... Michale Tobe Berkovitz, a Boston University professor who specializes in political communications, said that on a 1 to 10 scale, with 10 being the most damaging, the video footage rated “a 15.”

Berkovitz added: “No matter what you say and no matter how you say it, everyone sees the presidential nominee basically collapsing, almost on the street. When you are saying, ‘I want to be commander in chief and I have the toughness and the strength to lead America during trying times,’ well, you don’t want to see that person being carried into a van.”

These are the FACTS that no amount of partisan spin or Party loyalty can hide or obfuscate...

Americans don't want a candidate that will collapse while on the job.. Americans don't want a candidate that doesn't have to stamina to make it thru the day without a nap time...

If ya'all could step outside your Party loyalty, you would see that I am right...

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84857 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 09:37:55 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84857 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-democrats-should-panic-if-the-polls-still-look-like-this-in-a-week/ 5 Days ago, Nate Silver (ya'all's preferred prognosticator.... when he says what ya'all want to hear) said that if the polls are the same or worse in a week, Democrats should panic... Start searching around for ya'all's panic button, people. :D Michale http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-democrats-should-panic-if-the-polls-still-look-like-this-in-a-week/

5 Days ago, Nate Silver (ya'all's preferred prognosticator.... when he says what ya'all want to hear) said that if the polls are the same or worse in a week, Democrats should panic...

Start searching around for ya'all's panic button, people. :D

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84856 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 09:36:32 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84856 Which one of ya'all had said that Hillary's "deplorable" comments and her utter face-plant on 9/11 would not affect any of her poll numbers?? Whoever it was, would you care to revisit the issue and revise your statement?? :D It's tough being dead on ballz accurate most of the time.. :D Michale Which one of ya'all had said that Hillary's "deplorable" comments and her utter face-plant on 9/11 would not affect any of her poll numbers??

Whoever it was, would you care to revisit the issue and revise your statement?? :D

It's tough being dead on ballz accurate most of the time.. :D

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84855 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 09:24:54 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84855 I mean, seriously.. Look at the facts.. Hillary's momentum is dropping like a stone. She is LOSING in many battleground states... And she opts to take a week off??? Come'on people. I know that SOME of you can rise above Party loyalty and think logically and rationally... What do those facts tell you? Michale I mean, seriously..

Look at the facts..

Hillary's momentum is dropping like a stone.

She is LOSING in many battleground states...

And she opts to take a week off???

Come'on people. I know that SOME of you can rise above Party loyalty and think logically and rationally...

What do those facts tell you?

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84854 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 09:11:30 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84854 http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2016/09/20/13/3895A15400000578-0-image-m-3_1474373891915.jpg The dark circles under her eyes.. The pale complexion... The cock-eyed eyes... The haggard tired look... Yea, sure.. SHE can stand under glaring hot lights for an hour an a half... :^/ She couldn't even SIT for an hour and a half in low humidity with a cool breeze... Michale http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2016/09/20/13/3895A15400000578-0-image-m-3_1474373891915.jpg

The dark circles under her eyes..

The pale complexion...

The cock-eyed eyes...

The haggard tired look...

Yea, sure.. SHE can stand under glaring hot lights for an hour an a half... :^/

She couldn't even SIT for an hour and a half in low humidity with a cool breeze...

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84852 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 08:47:45 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84852 CW, Excellent analysis! This is one aspect that I look for in other Weigantians.. Non biased commentary.... Only 2 even come close to it.. If I were going to write a commentary about the debates, this would be eat. Extremely fair and unbiased. Kudos... :D Now for my analysis of the first debate.. The only real question is, will Hillary be able to actually MAKE it thru the end of the debate.. Given her recent track record of health issues, her simply making it thru to the end of the debate without collapsing is a "win" for her... Hillary is going to be concentrating so hard on just staying upright, I doubt she is going to be able to put up much of a fight.. On Trump's side, he is going to have to guard against playing the bully.. Hillary will have the frail elderly woman part down pat. If Trump is TOO rough on her, that will cost him.. Trump is also going to have to be careful of letting his ego take control. He will have to make sure his recently discovered inner peace will carry him thru the debate... To sum up... If Hillary can remain upright and coherent for the entire 90 mins, that will be a win for her.. If Trump can manage to not let Trump 1.0 out of his cage, that will be a win for Trump... Michale CW,

Excellent analysis!

This is one aspect that I look for in other Weigantians.. Non biased commentary.... Only 2 even come close to it..

If I were going to write a commentary about the debates, this would be eat. Extremely fair and unbiased.

Kudos... :D

Now for my analysis of the first debate..

The only real question is, will Hillary be able to actually MAKE it thru the end of the debate..

Given her recent track record of health issues, her simply making it thru to the end of the debate without collapsing is a "win" for her...

Hillary is going to be concentrating so hard on just staying upright, I doubt she is going to be able to put up much of a fight..

On Trump's side, he is going to have to guard against playing the bully.. Hillary will have the frail elderly woman part down pat. If Trump is TOO rough on her, that will cost him.. Trump is also going to have to be careful of letting his ego take control. He will have to make sure his recently discovered inner peace will carry him thru the debate...

To sum up...

If Hillary can remain upright and coherent for the entire 90 mins, that will be a win for her..

If Trump can manage to not let Trump 1.0 out of his cage, that will be a win for Trump...

Michale

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84851 Michale Wed, 21 Sep 2016 08:39:03 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84851 <I>My guess for village idiot posts: 8</I> Well, yer up to 2... Only 6 more to go.. :D :D Michale My guess for village idiot posts: 8

Well, yer up to 2... Only 6 more to go.. :D

:D

Michale

]]> By: neilm http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84849 neilm Wed, 21 Sep 2016 05:15:54 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84849 My guess for village idiot posts: 8 My guess for village idiot posts: 8

]]> By: BigGuy http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84848 BigGuy Wed, 21 Sep 2016 04:17:03 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84848 I inadvertently posted the previous comment without the link to the Bill Moyers aricle and before finishing editing. I missed a couple of things. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/bill-moyers/theres-no-debate_b_12090380.html? I inadvertently posted the previous comment without the link to the Bill Moyers aricle and before finishing editing. I missed a couple of things.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/bill-moyers/theres-no-debate_b_12090380.html?

]]> By: BigGuy http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84847 BigGuy Wed, 21 Sep 2016 04:12:20 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84847 A couple of thoughts regarding moderator bias: 1. I would like to think the viewing audience would form their own opinions on this during the debate and factor that into their analysis. 2. I would think rather negatively of a candidate that backed out of future debates based on such bias. All presidents are lightning rods for criticism much of which would be unfair from their point of view. 3 Bill Moyers and Michael Winship had an interesting believe the bias woud be against Secretary Clinton. Only Martha Raddatz gets lukewarm approval based on her 2012 debate performance. A couple of thoughts regarding moderator bias:

1. I would like to think the viewing audience would form their own opinions on this during the debate and factor that into their analysis.
2. I would think rather negatively of a candidate that backed out of future debates based on such bias. All presidents are lightning rods for criticism much of which would be unfair from their point of view.
3 Bill Moyers and Michael Winship had an interesting believe the bias woud be against Secretary Clinton. Only Martha Raddatz gets lukewarm approval based on her 2012 debate performance.

]]> By: neilm http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84845 neilm Wed, 21 Sep 2016 01:54:55 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84845 This is going to be interesting. I'm surprised CW thinks there will be "ready to roll" videos of prior statements, as I don't remember this in prior debates, but perhaps that is the new way. The key to the debate will be whether there are 25 questions with 1-2 minute answers from each, or 6-8 questions with some time devoted to each, with Holt playing the moderator in a back-and-forth. If it is the former then Trump will be able to lie and make up nonsense with little or no consequences (you'd expect Hillary to call him out, but if she spends all her time pointing out Trump's lies, she will have no time for her own positions). The latter will be more difficult for Trump, and it will be time to see if America wants somebody competent in the White House or a second rate celebrity with a sad little ego. I trust America and think that Trump will be punished for spouting nonsense. I don't want to think that we live in a country where wildly unqualified and revolting people can become President because they have some puerile entertainment value. This is going to be interesting. I'm surprised CW thinks there will be "ready to roll" videos of prior statements, as I don't remember this in prior debates, but perhaps that is the new way.

The key to the debate will be whether there are 25 questions with 1-2 minute answers from each, or 6-8 questions with some time devoted to each, with Holt playing the moderator in a back-and-forth.

If it is the former then Trump will be able to lie and make up nonsense with little or no consequences (you'd expect Hillary to call him out, but if she spends all her time pointing out Trump's lies, she will have no time for her own positions).

The latter will be more difficult for Trump, and it will be time to see if America wants somebody competent in the White House or a second rate celebrity with a sad little ego.

I trust America and think that Trump will be punished for spouting nonsense. I don't want to think that we live in a country where wildly unqualified and revolting people can become President because they have some puerile entertainment value.

]]> By: John From Censornati http://www.chrisweigant.com/2016/09/20/confront-them-with-their-own-words/#comment-84844 John From Censornati Wed, 21 Sep 2016 00:36:40 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/?p=12852#comment-84844 I have to assume that Big Orange is getting some word salad advice for the big night from Newt "If you quote me, you're lying" Gingrich. I have to assume that Big Orange is getting some word salad advice for the big night from Newt "If you quote me, you're lying" Gingrich.

]]>