Can't you concede this fact???

Didna think so..

"It's OK, I under stand,
this ain't no never never land.."
-CENTERFOLD, J. Geils Band

:D

Michale

Now pardon me while I wipe this brown stuff off my nose...

heh

:D

Michale

Thanks. I still think all pundits (all wonky ones, at least) should do this -- publicly post your past record, so people can assess the relative value of your picks!

-CW

-CW

A record to be proud of.... :D

Michale

Kudos..

Those ARE very logical and rational reasons why Bernie WON'T go third Party...

You have partially restored my faith in Weigantians... :D

I get nailed for using "insecure" when I mean "unsecure" all the time. Couldn't resist finally catching someone else doing it! ;D

Fair enough.. Who am I to deny you this simple pleasure... :D

I concede your point...:D

Michale

I've updated my final numbers to reflect my 3-for-6 calls from last night, just for everyone's information...

-CW

(Not sure how you know that the email server was "insecure" and not "unsecure" Does it have an eating disorder?).

Wow... That's pretty lame, Listen... :D

I get nailed for using "insecure" when I mean "unsecure" all the time. Couldn't resist finally catching someone else doing it! ;D

Because Bernie is a man of his word?

Because Bernie recognizes how critical it is to prevent Trump from being President.

Because he knows that while he and Hillary disagree on certain issues, for the vast majority their disagreement is more about how far the government should go to help fix the problems. Overall, their positions are not in conflict with one another.

Because the Democrats have recognized that they need his help to move forward with the Party's message -- giving him five seats on the platform committee was the DNC humbling itself in admitting that he has his finger on the nation's pulse much better than they do.

Because he knows firsthand that you have to have help to get anything done as a President! If he didn't realize this, he would have just run as a third party from the start!

Yet, at the time, Weigantians hung their hats on these "not fixed prophesies"

And ONE Weigantian is on record as saying that their "odds" were full of shit...

Guess who was the former and guess who was the latter?? :D

*I* was right.. YOUR betting markets were wrong...

That's all I am saying...

In summary, the markets are still what they are cracked up to be,

Except they were completely and unequivocally WRONG about TRUMP at first and *I* was right..

Can't you concede this fact???

Michale

Wow... That's pretty lame, Listen... :D

But yer a fellow SN fan so I'll let it slide.. :D

So Clinton should have had her email server on the State Dept. or the DOD servers, is that it?

No.. CLinton shouldn't have HAD any email server..

THAT's the point...

And the hacker who claims to have hacked into Clinton's server has always released documents proving he hacked a government's servers in the past...but this time he released nothing.

Probably because before he was free and COULD release them then..

But EVERY computer security service queried has said that Guccifer's account was factually accurate...

Michale

The markets give odds, not fixed prophesies.

Clinton was rated a heavy favorite from the git go, 70% or more at Betfair, consistently trending up as the primaries went forward.

Even early in the game, with a dozen Republican prospects Trump had high numbers compared to the rest of the pack. Trump tended to be the market favorite most of this year, over 50% much of the time, in spite of his roller coaster volatility. Betfair was briefly overly optimistic about Rubio, who briefly led Trump, but most of the time, the markets considered Trump the most likely Republican nominee in a crowded field. Favorite, but not an overwhelmingly favorite, and certainly not inevitable.

In summary, the markets are still what they are cracked up to be, about as good as anything else at making the ultimately correct call, but willing to lay out the landscape of uncertainty.

THAT's why he didn't mention Clinton's illegal, hackable and hacked, insecure, bathroom closet private email server...

Except that he DID mention it at the very start of their first debate! He made it very clear that he was running his campaign on issues that actually matter to people! So Clinton should have had her email server on the State Dept. or the DOD servers, is that it? Both of which have been hacked? (Not sure how you know that the email server was "insecure" and not "unsecure" Does it have an eating disorder?). And the hacker who claims to have hacked into Clinton's server has always released documents proving he hacked a government's servers in the past...but this time he released nothing.

California contraction: Hillary loses 30% of votes from 2008
theamericanmirror.com/hillarys-ca-support-falls-30-2008/

It doesn't take a rocket scientist to draw a conclusion from these facts... :D

Michale

Michale

Actually, the role of Logic (AKA Common Sense) is VERY prevalent in the here and now...

One just has to get rid of the Party Enslavement Blinders (PEB tm) to see it...

:D

I have been saying that Trump could win from day one..

I have been saying that Trump WILL win from about day 60...

Some of us still use logic as it was MEANT to be used, not as a Party propaganda tool....

Michale

Bernie is NOT a Democrat.. A fact that Hillary made perfectly clear over and over and over again...

Bernie doesn't have ANY obligation to the Democrat Party. Especially in light of how he was treated by said Democrat Party..

Given these facts, what is there to stop Bernie from continuing his campaign as a 3rd Party candidate???

Maybe aligning himself with Jill Stein as has been mentioned??

Does anyone have any logical and rational reasons why this can't or won't happen??

Michale

THAT's why he didn't mention Clinton's illegal, hackable and hacked, insecure, bathroom closet private email server...

Bernie was running to make a point..

It was only when he realized that he actually COULD win is when he started to TRY to win...

So, when all is said and done, Bernie has created millions and millions of Trump voters... :D

Michale

There's a Republican running for Senate out here named (no lie) "Duf" (forget his last name). Cue Homer Simpson: "I'm voting for DuffMan! Oooh yeah!"

Heh.

Probably the only smile for today.. :^D

Michale

CA has been remarkably stable in absolute numbers -- from very early on until right now, Hillary has maintained exactly the same 400K vote lead. I fully expect to wake up tomorrow and learn that she held something close to this lead until the very end, denying Bernie the CA victory he so wanted. As I write this, 63% of the vote is in, and the 400K buffer is holding firm.

Well, it's been a heckuva race, and for all the wrong calls I've made, it certainly has been an enjoyable one. I promise, I'll update this article when I awake tomorrow, to reflect my final score. My Dem average is reflective of the fact that the early races only had two candidates (unlike in 2008) so I was only calling the winner from the very beginning. This is why the total of "races called" is down this year, I should mention, because until it becomes a two-person race, I've always counted my picks for 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place, but this year only counted first for the whole Dem season (kind of cheating to count second in a two-person race).

In any case, more tomorrow when I'm more awake. I hereby raise my glass (well, beer bottle, technically...) to the 2016 primary race in a toast... you exhausted me, but you never bored me -- which is high praise indeed!

:-)

-CW

There's a Republican running for Senate out here named (no lie) "Duf" (forget his last name). Cue Homer Simpson: "I'm voting for DuffMan! Oooh yeah!"

Heh.

He won't even make it to the Nov. ballot, so I had to do that joke now...

-CW

Well, that means at worst I'll get at least 3-for-6 tonight... that makes me feel a little better about my last bout of Bernie optimism...

:-)

-CW

Her margin seems to be holding, but we've still got a long way to go... I was convinced Bernie won IL, until the last 10% was counted... it all depends who gets counted first and who gets counted last...

-CW

My numbers say only 25% in... (in CA)

-CW

CA still holding at 400K up for Hillary...

-CW

Another county heard from!

:-)

-CW

-CW

I seem to be having internet problems, my feed has slowed down to a crawl. tonight of all nights! Boo!

Anyway, glad to see some other people chiming in. I agree about Bernie's email comment, too...

-CW

-CW

agreed completely. bernie didn't pull punches on valid issues, but he abjectly refused to swim in the muck, and for this he deserves all the credit in the world.

JL

Hillary made several very positive comments about Bernie and his campaign in her speech. Hopefully fences will be swiftly mended.

Obviously Bernie backers wanted him to hang in to the convention but I don't think people on the fence like the idea. "Contested Convention" was a scary thought.

I consider Bernie's, “The American people are sick and tired of hearing about your damn emails,” to be the most honorable act I have ever witnessed from a politician during a campaign. It might not have been the smartest move politically, but it was definitely the classiest.

-CW

MT - margin down to 800, 6% in.

CA - big lead for Hillary, over 300K votes. However, this could mean a lot of mail-in votes for her. Bernie voters had ballot problems with the mail-in (forgot to request "Dem" ballot) so I saw a lot of them in person at the polls requesting a ballot with Bernie's name on it. So this big lead may dwindle over time (only 8% in).

-CW

Bernie wins ND - again, no surprise.

Hillary wins NM, so I guess the polls were right there (and I was wrong).

SD - over 90 % in, no call yet. Looks like a geographical thing -- Hillary won the east, Bernie's winning the west. I think all the east is in a different time zone, because they're all in. Almost all precincts left are in the west, and Bernie's only down by 1,400 votes, so he's still got a chance.

MT - very early, only 5% in, Hill up less than 1000 votes.

CA - polls just closed, only 7% in with Hill in big lead. But it's early days, no call yet.

More later...

-CW

Loved it. Made me tear up.

Experiencing History.

And amazing irony.

Yay!

I'm off to vote, so I'll see everyone in a bit...

-CW