Comments on: Place Your Bets! Call Pennsylvania And The Nomination http://www.chrisweigant.com/2008/04/21/place-your-bets-call-pennsylvania-and-the-nomination/ Reality-based political commentary Thu, 30 Apr 2026 02:50:11 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.1 hourly 1 By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2008/04/21/place-your-bets-call-pennsylvania-and-the-nomination/#comment-2097 Michale Tue, 22 Apr 2008 10:12:21 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/index.php/2008/04/21/place-your-bets-call-pennsylvania-and-the-nomination/#comment-2097 Of course, if Hillary got PA by 15+%, then it would really be a boon..... For John McCain... Personally, although I still intend to vote Obama (with the previous caveats) I honestly can't see how the Democrats can hope to take the GE in Nov... The Democratic Party has effectively gutted itself by this hari kari primary and I don't think they can heal in time. I know yer not taking GE predictions yet, but I predict big losses for the Dems across the board.. Once again, the Dems will snatch defeat from the jaws of certain victory.. Michale..... Of course, if Hillary got PA by 15+%, then it would really be a boon.....

For John McCain...

Personally, although I still intend to vote Obama (with the previous caveats) I honestly can't see how the Democrats can hope to take the GE in Nov...

The Democratic Party has effectively gutted itself by this hari kari primary and I don't think they can heal in time.

I know yer not taking GE predictions yet, but I predict big losses for the Dems across the board..

Once again, the Dems will snatch defeat from the jaws of certain victory..

Michale.....

]]> By: Michale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2008/04/21/place-your-bets-call-pennsylvania-and-the-nomination/#comment-2096 Michale Tue, 22 Apr 2008 10:08:16 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/index.php/2008/04/21/place-your-bets-call-pennsylvania-and-the-nomination/#comment-2096 Even though there has been no "gotcha" gaffe by Clinton, I still predict a Cinderella moment by Obama in PA... The PA primary will be close enough to force Clinton out. While I am not brave enough to actually predict an Obama win, it's a definite possibility, something it wasn't a few weeks ago. Regardless of a win, Obama will keep it close enough that the writing will not only be on the wall for Hillary, but typed up and delivered in triplicate from the entire Democratic Party. The only question will be, is Hillary still enough of a Democrat to obey the will of the party?? I think so. Above all else Hillary is a survivor. And she would NOT survive (politically) if she went against the entire party and took this to the convention. If she took it to the convention and the Dems lost in November, you can bet she would get ALL of the blame and would become a pariah within the Party.... I still see Hillary conceding the by the end of Apr. 28 Apr was the date I picked... Nothing has happened that would change my mind. :D Michale..... Even though there has been no "gotcha" gaffe by Clinton, I still predict a Cinderella moment by Obama in PA...

The PA primary will be close enough to force Clinton out. While I am not brave enough to actually predict an Obama win, it's a definite possibility, something it wasn't a few weeks ago.

Regardless of a win, Obama will keep it close enough that the writing will not only be on the wall for Hillary, but typed up and delivered in triplicate from the entire Democratic Party.

The only question will be, is Hillary still enough of a Democrat to obey the will of the party??

I think so. Above all else Hillary is a survivor. And she would NOT survive (politically) if she went against the entire party and took this to the convention. If she took it to the convention and the Dems lost in November, you can bet she would get ALL of the blame and would become a pariah within the Party....

I still see Hillary conceding the by the end of Apr. 28 Apr was the date I picked... Nothing has happened that would change my mind. :D

Michale.....

]]> By: Chris Weigant http://www.chrisweigant.com/2008/04/21/place-your-bets-call-pennsylvania-and-the-nomination/#comment-2095 Chris Weigant Tue, 22 Apr 2008 04:36:41 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/index.php/2008/04/21/place-your-bets-call-pennsylvania-and-the-nomination/#comment-2095 spermwhale - I did think about it, but I got burned predicting upsets in CA and TX for Obama which didn't materialize. This time I played it safe. We'll see, we'll see... Hey, c'mon, put some quatloos where your mouth is! Pick a date and tell me how the race ends!! :-) -CW spermwhale -

I did think about it, but I got burned predicting upsets in CA and TX for Obama which didn't materialize. This time I played it safe.

We'll see, we'll see...

Hey, c'mon, put some quatloos where your mouth is! Pick a date and tell me how the race ends!!

:-)

-CW

]]> By: spermwhale http://www.chrisweigant.com/2008/04/21/place-your-bets-call-pennsylvania-and-the-nomination/#comment-2094 spermwhale Tue, 22 Apr 2008 01:58:55 +0000 http://www.chrisweigant.com/index.php/2008/04/21/place-your-bets-call-pennsylvania-and-the-nomination/#comment-2094 The pollsters continue to be wrong and here’s why; most polls are run through aggregating calls to home phones. Obama continues to dominate 18 to 31 demographics across the board. Clearly the conservative 6 to 8% lead poll consensus continue to give Clinton, might be disappear in a heart beat if you include the number of cell phones representing this younger demographic that will never be reached! Pennsylvania will be a major "get!" I give the nod to Obama. Think about this one Chris! The pollsters continue to be wrong and here’s why; most polls are run through aggregating calls to home phones. Obama continues to dominate 18 to 31 demographics across the board. Clearly the conservative 6 to 8% lead poll consensus continue to give Clinton, might be disappear in a heart beat if you include the number of cell phones representing this younger demographic that will never be reached!

Pennsylvania will be a major "get!" I give the nod to Obama. Think about this one Chris!

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